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July 31, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays ⚾️

July 31, 2025

Today's Picks

-CIN Reds -1.5 (+105) | 0.5 Units

-ATL Braves v CIN Reds Over 9.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

ATL Braves v CIN Reds: I just can’t trust Carlos Carrasco (5.91 ERA) on the mound here, friends. The man has an Away ERA of 9.26, and 4 of his last 5 starts have resulted in a loss for Atlanta. On the other side, the Home team is sending out Andrew Abbott (2.09 ERA) who is arguably one of their best; the Reds have won 3 of his last 4 starts by at least 2 runs. Counting on the Braves offense or their chosen starter to keep things in check here is a mistake in my opinion – I’m on Cincinnati to cover the RL, as well as on the Over to cash.

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Today's Player Props

-ATL Braves v CIN Reds: Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.20 Units

-ATL Braves v CIN Reds: Andrew Abbott Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+115) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+533) | 0.20 Units

-CIN Reds Team Total Over 4.5 (-145)

-TEX Rangers v SEA Mariners: George Kirby Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-130)

-SEA Mariners Team Total Over 4.5 Runs (+110)

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July 31, 2025: Belle's Picks & Player Props ⚾️

July 31, 2025

Today's Picks

-CIN Reds -1.5 (+105) | 0.5 Units

-ATL Braves v CIN Reds Over 9.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

ATL Braves v CIN Reds: I just can’t trust Carlos Carrasco (5.91 ERA) on the mound here, friends. The man has an Away ERA of 9.26, and 4 of his last 5 starts have resulted in a loss for Atlanta. On the other side, the Home team is sending out Andrew Abbott (2.09 ERA) who is arguably one of their best; the Reds have won 3 of his last 4 starts by at least 2 runs. Counting on the Braves offense or their chosen starter to keep things in check here is a mistake in my opinion – I’m on Cincinnati to cover the RL, as well as on the Over to cash.

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Today's Player Props

-ATL Braves v CIN Reds: Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.20 Units

-ATL Braves v CIN Reds: Andrew Abbott Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+115) | 0.15 Units

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July 31, 2025: Belle's Picks ⚾️

July 31, 2025

-CIN Reds -1.5 (+105) | 0.5 Units

-ATL Braves v CIN Reds Over 9.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

ATL Braves v CIN Reds: I just can’t trust Carlos Carrasco (5.91 ERA) on the mound here, friends. The man has an Away ERA of 9.26, and 4 of his last 5 starts have resulted in a loss for Atlanta. On the other side, the Home team is sending out Andrew Abbott (2.09 ERA) who is arguably one of their best; the Reds have won 3 of his last 4 starts by at least 2 runs. Counting on the Braves offense or their chosen starter to keep things in check here is a mistake in my opinion – I’m on Cincinnati to cover the RL, as well as on the Over to cash.

July 31, 2025: Belle's Pick of the Day 🛎️

July 31, 2025

-CIN Reds -1.5 (+105) | 0.5 Units

Why This Pick?

I just can’t trust Carlos Carrasco (5.91 ERA) on the mound here, friends. The man has an Away ERA of 9.26, and 4 of his last 5 starts have resulted in a loss for Atlanta. On the other side, the Home team is sending out Andrew Abbott (2.09 ERA) who is arguably one of their best; the Reds have won 3 of his last 4 starts by at least 2 runs. Counting on the Braves offense or their chosen starter to keep things in check here is a mistake in my opinion – I’m on Cincinnati to cover the RL.

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July 31, 2025: Picks Hit 3/4 ☕️ + Morning Recap 💸😌

July 31, 2025

Good morning, all! I hope you're caffeinated – great news, picks hit 3/4 yesterday! I can't tell you how stoked I am – and as you all know, Pick of the Day cashed 💰👊🏽 For those curious, here's what we had:

Picks (3/4)

-PHI Phillies v CHI White Sox Over 9.0 (-115)

-TEX Rangers Team Total Over 4.5 (+105)

-TEX Rangers ML (-125)

-NY Mets v SD Padres Over 8.5 (-105) ❌

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I must say – that Rangers HR in the top of the 8th inning saved our bacon! Pick of the Day was a sweat, for sure – but I'm so glad Texas brought in the bag for us.

The PHI Phillies & CHI White Sox game also came through on the Over, mostly thanks to... the White Sox?! I know, I know...I'm just as shocked as you. Philly put a mere 3 runs on the board! Final score: 9-3 😂 But hey: thank you, Chicago – we'll take the dub.

Player Props hit 1/3 yesterday – shoutout to Matt Shaw for getting his bases (Matt Shaw Over 0.5 Total Bases (-120) ✅), and unfortunately our parlay was a miss thanks to Phillly not putting at least 5 runs on the board – who'd have thought Chicago was the move on that game?!

Overall, not a bad day yesterday, friends! I'm thrilled that Pick of the Day cashed. 🎉

P.S. - Why am I in your inbox painfully early today, you ask? One, thank you for noticing 🤪 And two, because I have plenty of whimsy and announcements coming your way in addition to today's picks (NFL Fantasy League info en route!!!) 🤩🏈

Enjoy the rest of your coffee, friends – I'll have today's POTD out shortly!

X

Belle

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👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under My Account

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July 30, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays (Premium) ⚾️

July 30, 2025

Today's Picks

-PHI Phillies v CHI White Sox Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-NY Mets v SD Padres Over 8.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-TEX Rangers Team Total Over 4.5 (+105) | 0.5 Units

-TEX Rangers ML (-125) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

PHI Phillies v CHI White Sox: Philadelphia vs the White Sox bullpen? I’ll take the Over, here. And as you all know, my Taijuan Walker PTSD is still alive and well – and for good reason, lately! Walker has allowed 5 Home Runs over his last 2 starts, and the Over has cashed in 4 of his last 5 outings. Assuming the rain lifts up, I say this total goes Over 9.0, friends.

NY Mets v SD Padres: This is going to be a tough game for a couple of reasons. One, I think it’s wildly unlikely that Juan Soto plays this afternoon due to his injury. Two, Yu Darvish (9.18 ERA) has been simply awful (sorry, bud). The Padres are a solid team on their own field with a 33-18 home record, but the Mets should put a healthy number of runs on the board with Darvish on the mound. On the other side, NY starter Clay Holmes (3.32 ERA) has allowed 5 ERs over his last two starts – I think San Diego gets enough past him to push this total Over 8.5.

TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Texas starter Nathan Eovaldi (1.50 ERA) is about as close to a pitching unicorn as they come as of late. With only 4 ERs across his last 5 starts, it’s relatively safe to say the Angels will have a tough time getting anything past him. To my point: Eovaldi’s last start against the Angels on July 8th saw the Rangers win 13-1…and as it so happens, Jose Soriano (3.79 ERA) was also the starting pitcher for this encounter. While Soriano is a solid pitcher, he’s actually worse at home than he is overall (Home ERA 5.37). I know the books favour a low-scoring game, but I think Texas may overachieve against Soriano for a second time here. I say the visitors take a win and put at least 5 in the bag.

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Today's Player Props

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Nathan Eovaldi Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+115) | 0.25 Units

-PHI Phillies v CHI White Sox: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) | 0.15 Units

-CHI Cubs v MIL Brewers: Matt Shaw Over 0.5 Total Bases (-120) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+594) | 0.20 Units

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels Over 8.0 (-115)

-PHI Phillies Team Total Over 4.5 (-130)

-NY Mets Team Total Over 4.5 (+110) 

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July 30, 2025: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays ⚾️

July 30, 2025

Today's Picks

-PHI Phillies v CHI White Sox Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-NY Mets v SD Padres Over 8.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-TEX Rangers Team Total Over 4.5 (+105) | 0.5 Units

-TEX Rangers ML (-125) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

PHI Phillies v CHI White Sox: Philadelphia vs the White Sox bullpen? I’ll take the Over, here. And as you all know, my Taijuan Walker PTSD is still alive and well – and for good reason, lately! Walker has allowed 5 Home Runs over his last 2 starts, and the Over has cashed in 4 of his last 5 outings. Assuming the rain lifts up, I say this total goes Over 9.0, friends.

NY Mets v SD Padres: This is going to be a tough game for a couple of reasons. One, I think it’s wildly unlikely that Juan Soto plays this afternoon due to his injury. Two, Yu Darvish (9.18 ERA) has been simply awful (sorry, bud). The Padres are a solid team on their own field with a 33-18 home record, but the Mets should put a healthy number of runs on the board with Darvish on the mound. On the other side, NY starter Clay Holmes (3.32 ERA) has allowed 5 ERs over his last two starts – I think San Diego gets enough past him to push this total Over 8.5.

TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Texas starter Nathan Eovaldi (1.50 ERA) is about as close to a pitching unicorn as they come as of late. With only 4 ERs across his last 5 starts, it’s relatively safe to say the Angels will have a tough time getting anything past him. To my point: Eovaldi’s last start against the Angels on July 8th saw the Rangers win 13-1…and as it so happens, Jose Soriano (3.79 ERA) was also the starting pitcher for this encounter. While Soriano is a solid pitcher, he’s actually worse at home than he is overall (Home ERA 5.37). I know the books favour a low-scoring game, but I think Texas may overachieve against Soriano for a second time here. I say the visitors take a win and put at least 5 in the bag.

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Today's Player Props

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Nathan Eovaldi Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+115) | 0.25 Units

-PHI Phillies v CHI White Sox: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) | 0.15 Units

-CHI Cubs v MIL Brewers: Matt Shaw Over 0.5 Total Bases (-120) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+594) | 0.20 Units

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels Over 8.0 (-115)

-PHI Phillies Team Total Over 4.5 (-130)

-NY Mets Team Total Over 4.5 (+110) 

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July 30, 2025: Belle's Picks & Player Props ⚾️

July 30, 2025

Today's Picks

-PHI Phillies v CHI White Sox Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-NY Mets v SD Padres Over 8.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-TEX Rangers Team Total Over 4.5 (+105) | 0.5 Units

-TEX Rangers ML (-125) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

PHI Phillies v CHI White Sox: Philadelphia vs the White Sox bullpen? I’ll take the Over, here. And as you all know, my Taijuan Walker PTSD is still alive and well – and for good reason, lately! Walker has allowed 5 Home Runs over his last 2 starts, and the Over has cashed in 4 of his last 5 outings. Assuming the rain lifts up, I say this total goes Over 9.0, friends.

NY Mets v SD Padres: This is going to be a tough game for a couple of reasons. One, I think it’s wildly unlikely that Juan Soto plays this afternoon due to his injury. Two, Yu Darvish (9.18 ERA) has been simply awful (sorry, bud). The Padres are a solid team on their own field with a 33-18 home record, but the Mets should put a healthy number of runs on the board with Darvish on the mound. On the other side, NY starter Clay Holmes (3.32 ERA) has allowed 5 ERs over his last two starts – I think San Diego gets enough past him to push this total Over 8.5.

TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Texas starter Nathan Eovaldi (1.50 ERA) is about as close to a pitching unicorn as they come as of late. With only 4 ERs across his last 5 starts, it’s relatively safe to say the Angels will have a tough time getting anything past him. To my point: Eovaldi’s last start against the Angels on July 8th saw the Rangers win 13-1…and as it so happens, Jose Soriano (3.79 ERA) was also the starting pitcher for this encounter. While Soriano is a solid pitcher, he’s actually worse at home than he is overall (Home ERA 5.37). I know the books favour a low-scoring game, but I think Texas may overachieve against Soriano for a second time here. I say the visitors take a win and put at least 5 in the bag.

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Today's Player Props

-TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Nathan Eovaldi Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+115) | 0.25 Units

-PHI Phillies v CHI White Sox: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) | 0.15 Units

-CHI Cubs v MIL Brewers: Matt Shaw Over 0.5 Total Bases (-120) | 0.20 Units

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July 30, 2025: Belle's Picks ⚾️

July 31, 2025

Today's Picks

-PHI Phillies v CHI White Sox Over 9.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-NY Mets v SD Padres Over 8.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-TEX Rangers Team Total Over 4.5 (+105) | 0.5 Units

-TEX Rangers ML (-125) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

PHI Phillies v CHI White Sox: Philadelphia vs the White Sox bullpen? I’ll take the Over, here. And as you all know, my Taijuan Walker PTSD is still alive and well – and for good reason, lately! Walker has allowed 5 Home Runs over his last 2 starts, and the Over has cashed in 4 of his last 5 outings. Assuming the rain lifts up, I say this total goes Over 9.0, friends.

NY Mets v SD Padres: This is going to be a tough game for a couple of reasons. One, I think it’s wildly unlikely that Juan Soto plays this afternoon due to his injury. Two, Yu Darvish (9.18 ERA) has been simply awful (sorry, bud). The Padres are a solid team on their own field with a 33-18 home record, but the Mets should put a healthy number of runs on the board with Darvish on the mound. On the other side, NY starter Clay Holmes (3.32 ERA) has allowed 5 ERs over his last two starts – I think San Diego gets enough past him to push this total Over 8.5.

TEX Rangers v LA Angels: Texas starter Nathan Eovaldi (1.50 ERA) is about as close to a pitching unicorn as they come as of late. With only 4 ERs across his last 5 starts, it’s relatively safe to say the Angels will have a tough time getting anything past him. To my point: Eovaldi’s last start against the Angels on July 8th saw the Rangers win 13-1…and as it so happens, Jose Soriano (3.79 ERA) was also the starting pitcher for this encounter. While Soriano is a solid pitcher, he’s actually worse at home than he is overall (Home ERA 5.37). I know the books favour a low-scoring game, but I think Texas may overachieve against Soriano for a second time here. I say the visitors take a win and put at least 5 in the bag.

July 30, 2025: Belle's Pick of the Day 🛎️

July 30, 2025

-TEX Rangers Team Total Over 4.5 (+105) | 0.5 Units

Why This Pick?

Texas starter Nathan Eovaldi (1.50 ERA) is about as close to a pitching unicorn as they come as of late. With only 4 ERs across his last 5 starts, it’s relatively safe to say the Angels will have a tough time getting anything past him. To my point: Eovaldi’s last start against the Angels on July 8th saw the Rangers win 13-1…and as it so happens, Jose Soriano (3.79 ERA) was also the starting pitcher for this encounter. While Soriano is a solid pitcher, he’s actually worse at home than he is overall (Home ERA 5.37). I know the books favour a low-scoring game, but I think Texas may overachieve against Soriano for a second time here. I say the visitors put at least 5 in the bag.

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👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under My Account

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