-MIN Lynx -12.5 (-105) | 0.5 Units

League: WNBA

Start Time: 6:00PM PST

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Why This Pick?

I’ve gotta be honest – I’m not backing a team that’s coming off a 48-point loss. And, with the Lynx being a nice 17-6 so far this season, a double-digit win over the struggling Mercury is not a stretch. While Phoenix has managed to keep some close(ish?) games over the last week, they made it abundantly clear a couple of days ago that going toe-to-toe with the league’s best is just too tall of an order; give me Minnesota to cover at home this evening.

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Above gif: How I feel when the recap goes out before 5PM & the All-Star Break is upon us.

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I have to say, it sure is nice not to be writing a recap at midnight 😅👊🏼 One of the benefits of Sunday baseball starting ridiculously early! Today was a good one overall, friends: our VIP Parlay cashed for a nice +442, Player Props swept hitting 3/3, and picks cashed 1/4 (meh…).

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If you tailed the entire slate, you made a decent profit today 😌 For those curious, here’s what we had:

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Player Props (3/3) 🧹

-PHI Phillies v DET Tigers: Zack Wheeler 8+ Strikeouts (+105) ✅

-BOS Red Sox v NY Mets: Payton Tolle 6+ Strikeouts (+105) ✅

-TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres: Kevin Gausman 6+ Strikeouts (-110)  ✅

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Parlay (+442) 🎉

-BOS Red Sox v NY Mets Under 8.0 (-110) ✅

-PHI Phillies +1.5 (-205) ✅

-HOU Astros v TEX Rangers Over 9.0 (-110) ✅

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Parlay (+433) ❌

-SD Padres Team Total Over 3.5 (-135)

-MIA Marlins ML (-115)

-COL Rockies +1.5 (-165)

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Picks (1/4)

-TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres Over 8.5 (-120) ✅

-COL Rockies v SF Giants Over 8.5 (-120) ❌

-COL Rockies ML (+120) ❌

-SEA Mariners Team Total Under 3.5 (-115) ❌

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Just a reminder friends, the MLB All-Star Break starts tomorrow! That said, I’ll be dropping a few WNBA picks and some fun All-Star props until our regularly scheduled programming returns 😉

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The Podcast will be back this week, some fun Tier bundles will drop… Lots of fun things coming down the pipes 👏🏽

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Alright everyone, that’s all for now! Enjoy the rest of your evening.

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X

Belle

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‍

Today's Picks

-COL Rockies v SF Giants Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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COL Rockies v SF Giants: I don’t love either offense in this matchup, but both of today’s starters have allowed far too many runs over their last 5 starts for me to think this game has a shot at staying Under 8.5. Giants pitcher Trevor McDonald (5.46 ERA) has an ERA of 30.86 over the last week (somehow?!), and while Michael Lorenzen (6.46 ERA) has had a few solid outings recently, the Over has cashed in 4 of his last 5 starts. My money’s on a high-scoring affair this afternoon, friends.

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TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres: Until Kevin Gausman consistently gets his sh*t together, I just can’t bet the Under. Gausman’s last start had a final score of 10-1 (he allowed 4 of those runs…) and he’s allowed 11 runs over his last 3 games. On the other side, San Diego pitcher German Marquez (5.02 ERA) is far from his best at home; take the Over to hit here.

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Today's Player Props

-PHI Phillies v DET Tigers: Zack Wheeler 8+ Strikeouts (+105) | 0.20 Units

-BOS Red Sox v NY Mets: Payton Tolle 6+ Strikeouts (+105) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Picks

-COL Rockies v SF Giants Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-COL Rockies ML (+120) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Mariners Team Total Under 3.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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COL Rockies v SF Giants: I don’t love either offense in this matchup, but both of today’s starters have allowed far too many runs over their last 5 starts for me to think this game has a shot at staying Under 8.5. Giants pitcher Trevor McDonald (5.46 ERA) has an ERA of 30.86 over the last week (somehow?!), and while Michael Lorenzen (6.46 ERA) has had a few solid outings recently, the Over has cashed in 4 of his last 5 starts. My money’s on a high-scoring affair this afternoon, friends – and, I’ll toss a sprinkle on Colorado to pull off the upset.

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SEA Mariners v TB Rays: Tampa starer Ian Seymour (4.11 ERA) hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 5 outings, and to be frank, Seattle’s offense has been on the struggle bus for 5 straight games now. If the Mariners manage to bag a win today and avoid the sweep, I don’t doubt the game will be a low-scoring one. I’ll wager that the visitors put 3 or fewer on the board.

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TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres: Until Kevin Gausman consistently gets his sh*t together, I just can’t bet the Under. Gausman’s last start had a final score of 10-1 (he allowed 4 of those runs…) and he’s allowed 11 runs over his last 3 games. On the other side, San Diego pitcher German Marquez (5.02 ERA) is far from his best at home; take the Over to hit here.

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Today's Player Props

-PHI Phillies v DET Tigers: Zack Wheeler 8+ Strikeouts (+105) | 0.20 Units

-BOS Red Sox v NY Mets: Payton Tolle 6+ Strikeouts (+105) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres: Kevin Gausman 6+ Strikeouts (-110) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+442) | 0.20 Units

-BOS Red Sox v NY Mets Under 8.0 (-110)

-PHI Phillies +1.5 (-205)

-HOU Astros v TEX Rangers Over 9.0 (-110)

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Parlay (+433) | 0.20 Units

-SD Padres Team Total Over 3.5 (-135)

-MIA Marlins ML (-115)

-COL Rockies +1.5 (-165)

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Today's Picks

-COL Rockies v SF Giants Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-COL Rockies ML (+120) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Mariners Team Total Under 3.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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COL Rockies v SF Giants: I don’t love either offense in this matchup, but both of today’s starters have allowed far too many runs over their last 5 starts for me to think this game has a shot at staying Under 8.5. Giants pitcher Trevor McDonald (5.46 ERA) has an ERA of 30.86 over the last week (somehow?!), and while Michael Lorenzen (6.46 ERA) has had a few solid outings recently, the Over has cashed in 4 of his last 5 starts. My money’s on a high-scoring affair this afternoon, friends – and, I’ll toss a sprinkle on Colorado to pull off the upset.

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SEA Mariners v TB Rays: Tampa starer Ian Seymour (4.11 ERA) hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 5 outings, and to be frank, Seattle’s offense has been on the struggle bus for 5 straight games now. If the Mariners manage to bag a win today and avoid the sweep, I don’t doubt the game will be a low-scoring one. I’ll wager that the visitors put 3 or fewer on the board.

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TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres: Until Kevin Gausman consistently gets his sh*t together, I just can’t bet the Under. Gausman’s last start had a final score of 10-1 (he allowed 4 of those runs…) and he’s allowed 11 runs over his last 3 games. On the other side, San Diego pitcher German Marquez (5.02 ERA) is far from his best at home; take the Over to hit here.

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Today's Player Props

-PHI Phillies v DET Tigers: Zack Wheeler 8+ Strikeouts (+105) | 0.20 Units

-BOS Red Sox v NY Mets: Payton Tolle 6+ Strikeouts (+105) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres: Kevin Gausman 6+ Strikeouts (-110) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+442) | 0.20 Units

-BOS Red Sox v NY Mets Under 8.0 (-110)

-PHI Phillies +1.5 (-205)

-HOU Astros v TEX Rangers Over 9.0 (-110)

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Parlay (+433) | 0.20 Units

-SD Padres Team Total Over 3.5 (-135)

-MIA Marlins ML (-115)

-COL Rockies +1.5 (-165)

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Today's Picks

-COL Rockies v SF Giants Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-COL Rockies ML (+120) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Mariners Team Total Under 3.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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COL Rockies v SF Giants: I don’t love either offense in this matchup, but both of today’s starters have allowed far too many runs over their last 5 starts for me to think this game has a shot at staying Under 8.5. Giants pitcher Trevor McDonald (5.46 ERA) has an ERA of 30.86 over the last week (somehow?!), and while Michael Lorenzen (6.46 ERA) has had a few solid outings recently, the Over has cashed in 4 of his last 5 starts. My money’s on a high-scoring affair this afternoon, friends – and, I’ll toss a sprinkle on Colorado to pull off the upset.

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SEA Mariners v TB Rays: Tampa starer Ian Seymour (4.11 ERA) hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 5 outings, and to be frank, Seattle’s offense has been on the struggle bus for 5 straight games now. If the Mariners manage to bag a win today and avoid the sweep, I don’t doubt the game will be a low-scoring one. I’ll wager that the visitors put 3 or fewer on the board.

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TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres: Until Kevin Gausman consistently gets his sh*t together, I just can’t bet the Under. Gausman’s last start had a final score of 10-1 (he allowed 4 of those runs…) and he’s allowed 11 runs over his last 3 games. On the other side, San Diego pitcher German Marquez (5.02 ERA) is far from his best at home; take the Over to hit here.

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Today's Player Props

-PHI Phillies v DET Tigers: Zack Wheeler 8+ Strikeouts (+105) | 0.20 Units

-BOS Red Sox v NY Mets: Payton Tolle 6+ Strikeouts (+105) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres: Kevin Gausman 6+ Strikeouts (-110) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Picks

-COL Rockies v SF Giants Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-COL Rockies ML (+120) | 0.25 Units

-SEA Mariners Team Total Under 3.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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COL Rockies v SF Giants: I don’t love either offense in this matchup, but both of today’s starters have allowed far too many runs over their last 5 starts for me to think this game has a shot at staying Under 8.5. Giants pitcher Trevor McDonald (5.46 ERA) has an ERA of 30.86 over the last week (somehow?!), and while Michael Lorenzen (6.46 ERA) has had a few solid outings recently, the Over has cashed in 4 of his last 5 starts. My money’s on a high-scoring affair this afternoon, friends – and, I’ll toss a sprinkle on Colorado to pull off the upset.

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SEA Mariners v TB Rays: Tampa starer Ian Seymour (4.11 ERA) hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 5 outings, and to be frank, Seattle’s offense has been on the struggle bus for 5 straight games now. If the Mariners manage to bag a win today and avoid the sweep, I don’t doubt the game will be a low-scoring one. I’ll wager that the visitors put 3 or fewer on the board.

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TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres: Until Kevin Gausman consistently gets his sh*t together, I just can’t bet the Under. Gausman’s last start had a final score of 10-1 (he allowed 4 of those runs…) and he’s allowed 11 runs over his last 3 games. On the other side, San Diego pitcher German Marquez (5.02 ERA) is far from his best at home; take the Over to hit here.

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-COL Rockies v SF Giants Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

I don’t love either offense in this matchup, but both of today’s starters have allowed far too many runs over their last 5 starts for me to think this game has a shot at staying Under 8.5. Giants pitcher Trevor McDonald (5.46 ERA) has an ERA of 30.86 over the last week (somehow?!), and while Michael Lorenzen (6.46 ERA) has had a few solid outings recently, the Over has cashed in 4 of his last 5 starts. My money’s on a high-scoring affair this afternoon, friends.

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🔥 Want all of my picks, props & parlays?
👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under ‘My Account’

‍🎓 Ready to level up your game?
📚 Check out Belle’s Online Betting Course

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Hey friends,

Over the past little while, I've been spending a lot of time thinking about where I want Belle's Picks to go—not just as a sports betting website, but as a community.

One thing I kept coming back to was routine ☀️.

Every morning starts the same way for me: a fresh cup of coffee, digging through stats, checking line movement, and figuring out where I think the best value is on today's slate. It's honestly one of my favourite parts of the day.

So I've decided to give Belle's Picks a little more structure, with a consistent weekly content schedule so everyone knows exactly what to expect.

🌟 Here's the plan moving forward:

☕ Daily (10:00 AM PST) – Pick of the Day

💰 Daily (Early Afternoon) – Picks, Props & Parlays

📊 Daily (Evening) – Post-Game Recap

📈 Mondays – Weekly Performance Recap

🎙️ Wednesdays – Belle's Picks Podcast (returning July 15!)

🎥 Every Other Tuesday – New YouTube video

📊 Monthly – Full performance recap

The goal isn't to create more content just for the sake of it—it's to create a better experience.

I want Belle's Picks to become more than just a place to grab today's picks. My hope is that it becomes part of your daily routine—a place you can stop by for your morning coffee, catch up on the day's slate, celebrate the wins, learn a little along the way, and enjoy the games with a community that loves sports as much as you do 👊🏼.

Whether you've been here since the Patreon days or you just joined last week, thank you 😌. Every email you open, every comment you leave, every Discord conversation, and every bit of support has helped Belle's Picks grow into something I'm incredibly proud of.

I'm really excited about where we're headed, and I can't wait to keep building it with all of you.

Thanks for being here. 💚

Belle

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Today's Picks

-NY Yankees -1.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-TOR Blue Jays ML (-110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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NY Yankees v WAS Nationals: The Yankees should have no issue covering the RL with their resident Ace on the mound (Cam Schlittler, 2.01 ERA). The Nationals have PJ Poulin listed to start, and while I think he’s great, the man is part of their bullpen and rarely pitches for more than an inning. If the option is to bet on New York with their best on the mound or on the Nationals bullpen, I’ve gotta ride with the former. Take the Yankees to win by at least 2 on the road.

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TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres: The Blue Jays offense seems to be picking up steam, friends. To boot, Padres starter Walker Buehler (5.07 ERA) has allowed a staggering 16 runs over his last two games. I’m not sure what happened to him (lol), but Buehler had been pretty decent up until his run-in with the Cubs on July 1st. Trey Yesavage (3.31 ERA) is undoubtedly the more reliable arm here, and he’s been great on the road (Away ERA 2.36). I’m going to roll with the Blue Jays to bag a win this evening.

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Today's Player Props

-PHI Phillies v DET Tigers: Casey Mize 6+ Strikeouts (+105) | 0.20 Units

-NY Yankees v WAS Nationals: Ben Rice Over 1.5 Total Bases (-130) | 0.25 Units

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