BAL Orioles v SEA Mariners Over 7.5 (-120) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

I don’t love the Orioles offense – but Mariners pitcher George Kirby (11.42 ERA) has only had two starts and both of them saw him earn at least 5 runs with final game totals of at least 9. Kirby’s last start saw Seattle get shutout by the Washington Nationals 9-0; if the Orioles are going to put runs on the board, George Kirby is probably their best chance to do that. On the other hand, I fully expect the Mariners to take advantage of Baltimore’s lacklustre bullpen in the later innings. Take the Over to cash here, friends.

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Today's Pick of the Day is a hit, friends! A massive congratulations to everyone who tailed – and for those curious, here's what we had:

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-MIN Twins -1.5 (+100) ✅

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I can't tell you how happy I am that we got this one at plus money! What a great hit. Enjoy your victory, betting fam – and on to the next we go ;)

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X

Belle

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Today's Picks

- MIN Twins -1.5 (+100) | 0.5 Units

- MIN Twins v The Athletics Under 9.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

- SD Padres v SF Giants Over 7.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

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MIN Twins v The Athletics: The Athletics can’t seem to buy a win these days having lost 17 of their last 18, friends. To boot, Athletics starter Luis Severino (3.89 ERA, 6.20 ERA at home) is 0-4 at home – it doesn’t make any sense to back him in conjunction with this As offense. The Twins should make light work of the As with Joe Ryan (5-2, 2.57 ERA) on the mound, who’s only allowed 6 earned runs over his last 5 outings.  I’m on Minnesota to cover the RL this evening, and I’ll also take the Under as I don’t think the As are getting much past Ryan.

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SD Padres v SF Giants: This is a bold choice, I admit – but 3 of of Stephen Kolek’s last 4 outings have seen totals of at least 13 runs (wtf?) Kolek allowed 6 earned runs in his last start against Miami…That statistic alone makes the Under a very risky play in my opinion. I’ll take the Over to hit here.

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Player Props

- SD Padres v SF Giants: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

- MIN Twins v The Athletics: Joe Ryan Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-115) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Picks

-MIN Twins -1.5 (+100) | 0.5 Units

-MIN Twins v The Athletics Under 9.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-SD Padres v SF Giants Over 7.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

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MIN Twins v The Athletics: The Athletics can’t seem to buy a win these days having lost 17 of their last 18, friends. To boot, Athletics starter Luis Severino (3.89 ERA, 6.20 ERA at home) is 0-4 at home – it doesn’t make any sense to back him in conjunction with this As offense. The Twins should make light work of the As with Joe Ryan (5-2, 2.57 ERA) on the mound, who’s only allowed 6 earned runs over his last 5 outings.  I’m on Minnesota to cover the RL this evening, and I’ll also take the Under as I don’t think the As are getting much past Ryan.

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SD Padres v SF Giants: This is a bold choice, I admit – but 3 of of Stephen Kolek’s last 4 outings have seen totals of at least 13 runs (wtf?) Kolek allowed 6 earned runs in his last start against Miami…That statistic alone makes the Under a very risky play in my opinion. I’ll take the Over to hit here.
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Parlays 

Parlay (+449) | 0.20 Units

SF Giants ML (-185)

MIL Brewers v CIN Reds Over 9.0 (-110)

CIN Reds ML (-115)

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Player Props

SD Padres v SF Giants: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.15 Units

MIN Twins v The Athletics: Joe Ryan Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-115) | 0.15 Units

-MIN Twins -1.5 (+100) | 0.5 Units

-MIN Twins v The Athletics Under 9.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-SD Padres v SF Giants Over 7.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

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MIN Twins v The Athletics: The Athletics can’t seem to buy a win these days having lost 17 of their last 18, friends. To boot, Athletics starter Luis Severino (3.89 ERA, 6.20 ERA at home) is 0-4 at home – it doesn’t make any sense to back him in conjunction with this As offense. The Twins should make light work of the As with Joe Ryan (5-2, 2.57 ERA) on the mound, who’s only allowed 6 earned runs over his last 5 outings.  I’m on Minnesota to cover the RL this evening, and I’ll also take the Under as I don’t think the As are getting much past Ryan.

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SD Padres v SF Giants: This is a bold choice, I admit – but 3 of of Stephen Kolek’s last 4 outings have seen totals of at least 13 runs (wtf?) Kolek allowed 6 earned runs in his last start against Miami…That statistic alone makes the Under a very risky play in my opinion. I’ll take the Over to hit here.

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-MIN Twins -1.5 (+100) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

The Athletics can’t seem to buy a win these days having lost 17 of their last 18, friends. To boot, Athletics starter Luis Severino (3.89 ERA, 6.20 ERA at home) is 0-4 at home – it doesn’t make any sense to back him in conjunction with this As offense. The Twins should make light work of the As with Joe Ryan (5-2, 2.57 ERA) on the mound, who’s only allowed 6 earned runs over his last 5 outings.  I’m on Minnesota to cover the RL here.

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It's finally time for my post-game recap (and most importantly, my nightcap!) Friends, today was an absolute banger; we hit 4/4 on our Picks, and 3/3 on our Player Props – the highly coveted double sweep! 🧹😍 For those curious, here's what we had tonight:

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Picks (3/3)

-The Athletics vs TO Blue Jays Over 8.0 (-115) ✅

-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-120) ✅

-SF Giants v MIA Marlins Under 8.0 (-115) ✅

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Player Props (3/3)

BOS Red Sox v ATL Braves: Garrett Crochet Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-105) ✅

The Athletics v TOR Blue Jays: Vladimir Guerrero Jr Over 1.5 Total Bases (-125) ✅

WAS Nationals v ARI Diamondbacks: Corbin Burnes Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-110) ✅

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Our parlay tonight was a miss, sadly – and by only a single run (MIA Marlins +1.5 was the leg that failed)! But hey – we had an amazing night, so I won't dwell. 😌

As a very fun aside, I'll be dropping a big announcement tomorrow evening! Those of you who have been perusing my website lately might already know what it is...but I'll make it official before the day is out and give you all of the details!

Alright betting fam, that's all for now – congrats again on the massive day! Annnnd as always, I'll see you all bright and early to do it all again ;)

X

Belle

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Today's Pick of the Day is a hit, friends! A big congratulations if you tailed, and for those curious, here's what we had:

-The Athletics vs TO Blue Jays Over 8.0 (-115) ✅

It was definitely a bit of a slow start for the Blue Jays – but holy am I ever glad they turned up in the later innings. Enjoy your win, betting fam – on to the next we go ;)

X

Belle

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Today's Picks

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-The Athletics vs TO Blue Jays Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units 

-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 4.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-SF Giants v MIA Marlins Under 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

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Why This Pick?

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The Athletics v TOR Blue Jays: The Blue Jays have been hitting the ball way too well for me to think this total stays Under 8. And despite their struggles in the first game of this series, the As put 7 runs on the board yesterday (not that I think they’ll get a whole 7 runs past Kevin Gausman…). In addition, JP Sears’ (5.18 ERA) last 4 straight outings have seen the Over cash in spades. Sears allowed a staggering 10 hits and 9 runs in his last outing against the Astros, and 8 hits with 6 earned runs against the Angels back on May 21st. The pitching advantage here is so vast, it’s wildly unlikely that Sears keeps the Jays in check. While I think the Athletics will contribute a few runs, it’s far more plausible that Toronto runs up a steep total. I’m on the Over to hit, friends.

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SF Giants v MIA Marlins: Both Hayden Birdsong (2.48 ERA) and Ryan Weathers (1.15 ERA) have proven to be incredibly capable so far this season – and to be honest, both of these offenses have been tough to depend on. Weathers has only allowed 2 earned runs across his last 3 outings, faring a bit better than Birdsong who's allowed 6 earned runs over his last 3. I'm on the Under to cash.

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Parlays

Parlay (+601) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays ML (-200)

-CLE Guardians ML (-190)

-MIA Marlins +1.5 (-165)

-BOS Red Sox v ATL Braves Under 8.0 (-110)

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Player Props

BOS Red Sox v ATL Braves: Garrett Crochet Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-105) | 0.15 Units

The Athletics v TOR Blue Jays: Vladimir Guerrero Jr Over 1.5 Total Bases (-125) | 0.15 Units

WAS Nationals v ARI Diamondbacks: Corbin Burnes Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-110) | 0.15 Units

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-The Athletics vs TO Blue Jays Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

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The Blue Jays have been hitting the ball way too well for me to think this total stays Under 8. And despite their struggles in the first game of this series, the As put 7 runs on the board yesterday (not that I think they’ll get a whole 7 runs past Kevin Gausman…). In addition, JP Sears’ (5.18 ERA) last 4 straight outings have seen the Over cash in spades. Sears allowed a staggering 10 hits and 9 runs in his last outing against the Astros, and 8 hits with 6 earned runs against the Angels back on May 21st. The pitching advantage here is so vast, it’s wildly unlikely that Sears keeps the Jays in check. While I think the Athletics will contribute a few runs, it’s far more plausible that Toronto runs up a steep total. I’m on the Over to hit, friends.