Let's @#%*ing go, friends – we got the sweep! Picks hit 4/4 tonight – a huge congratulations to everyone that tailed. And, an honourable mention to our Player Props that hit 2/3 this evening 😉 For those curious, here's what we had:

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Picks (4/4)

-TB Rays v HOU Astros Over 8.0 (-120) ✅ (*Pick of the Day)

-The Athletics v TOR Blue Jays Over 8.5 (-110) ✅

-WAS Nationals v SEA Mariners Over 7.5 (-110) ✅

-WAS Nationals ML (+105) ✅

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Player Props (2/3)

IND Pacers v NY Knicks: Jalen Brunson Over 30.5 Points (-115) ✅

IND Pacers v NY Knicks: Pascal Siakam Over 8.5 Assists & Rebounds (-130) ✅

IND Pacers v NY Knicks: Tyrese Haliburton: Over 21.5 Points (-115) ❌

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Not gonna lie, betting fam – I'm stoked! The last few days have been solid. Let's keep this money training going and end this month on a high ;)

Enjoy the big win, everyone – and as always, I'll see you all bright and early to do it all again!

X

Belle

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-TB Rays v HOU Astros Over 8.0 (-120) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

This should be a high-scoring affair, friends. Neither one of today’s pitchers has inspired confidence lately. Taking a look at Rays starter Shane Baz’s stats (4.94 ERA), the man has allowed 22 runs on just 34 hits this month – in short, dude’s having a rough go. On the other side, the Astros will start Ryan Gusto (4.58 ERA) who allowed 2 Home Runs over just 4 hits in his last outing?! Between these two on the mound and the capable offenses on each side, I’m on the Over to cash here.  

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Today's Picks

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-TB Rays v HOU Astros Over 8.0 (-120) | 0.5 Units

-The Athletics v TOR Blue Jays Over 8.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-WAS Nationals v SEA Mariners Over 7.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-WAS Nationals ML (+105) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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TB Rays v HOU Astros: This should be a high-scoring affair, friends. Neither one of today’s pitchers has inspired confidence lately. Taking a look at Rays starter Shane Baz’s stats (4.94 ERA), the man has allowed 22 runs on just 34 hits this month – in short, dude’s having a rough go. On the other side, the Astros will start Ryan Gusto (4.58 ERA) who allowed 2 Home Runs over just 4 hits in his last outing?! Between these two on the mound and the capable offenses on each side, I’m on the Over to cash here

The Athletics v TOR Blue Jays: This pick really comes down to one thing. To be honest, I love Jacob Lopez (2.57 ERA) on the mound. Despite being 0-2, the man has had a number of great starts only to get let down by the bullpen in each game. Lopez has only actually allowed 5 runs in his last 5 outings – and yet the Athletics managed to lose all 5 of those games. In my opinion, Berrios (4.22 ERA) is the lesser pitcher in this equation – I think the As will get a few runs past him. But ultimately, once Lopez makes his exit, I fear for the fate of the As. I imagine the Blue Jays will take over and drive up a total. To be clear: I don't love the Jays' bullpen right now either; if Hoffman sees the mound, I expect an even higher scoring game (lol). I say this game hits at least 9 runs due to what will likely transpire in the later innings.

WAS Nationals v SEA Mariners: The Mariners got absolutely stomped yesterday. And while Emerson Hancock (5.95 ERA) isn't George Kirby, I still think the Nationals will bag more than a few runs off of him today. I know Seattle is going to be hellbent on rectifying that shutout, but Gore has been a much better pitcher than Hancock lately. That said, I don't think either of today's pitchers have the chops to keep this game Under 7.5 (4 of Hancock's last 5 outings have seen totals of 8 or more). I'm on the Over to cash again, and I'll take my chances with the Nationals to pull off another win.

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Today's Parlay(s): 

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Parlay (+533) | 0.20 Units

ATL Braves v PHI Phillies Under 7.5 (Game 2) (-120)

IND Pacers +4.0 (-105)

The Athletics Team Total Over 3.5 (-130)

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Today's Player Props

IND Pacers v NY Knicks: Jalen Brunson Over 30.5 Points (-115) | 0.20 Units

IND Pacers v NY Knicks: Tyrese Haliburton: Over 21.5 Points (-115) | 0.20 Units

IND Pacers v NY Knicks: Pascal Siakam Over 8.5 Assists & Rebounds (-130) | 0.15 Units

That's more like it, friends – we hit 4/5 of our picks today, including 'Pick of the Day'! Overall, we came out of this evening in the green 💚😉 For those curious, here's what we had:

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-WAS Nationals v SEA Mariners Over 8.0 (-110) ✅

-MIN Twins v TB Rays Under 8.0 (-115) ✅

-STL Cardinals v BAL Orioles Over 8.0 (-115) ✅

-STL Cardinals ML (+100) ✅

-The Athletics v HOU Astros Over 8.0 (-120) ❌

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SO NEARLY a sweep, ha ha! But 4/5 is real nice, so I won't complain 🤪 I can't believe we missed the Athletics/Astros total by one run (final total was 8!)

I'm thrilled that the St. Louis Cardinals pulled off a win – plus money just hits different!

As for our Pick of the Day: I'm so glad it hit, but damn – the Nationals covering the total all by themselves was not on my betting bingo card! The Seattle Mariners got shut out 9-0; unbelievable. But hey, I'm glad we cashed ;)

Alright friends, that's all I've got for tonight! Enjoy your wins, and as always, I'll see you all bright and early.

X

Belle

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Today’s Pick of the Day is a hit, friends! A big congratulations to everyone that tailed — and for those curious, here’s what we had:

-WAS Nationals v SEA Mariners Over 8.0 (-110) ✅

We are so back, friends 👊🏽 Enjoy your win, and on to the next we go!

X

Belle

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Parlay (+473) | 0.20 Units

TOR Blue Jays v TEX Rangers Under 9.0 (alternate total) (-140)

MIA Marlins v SD Padres Over 9.0 (-105)

CHI Cubs Team Total Over 4.5 (-140)

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-WAS Nationals v SEA Mariners Over 8.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-The Athletics v HOU Athletics Over 8.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-MIN Twins v TB Rays Under 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals v BAL Orioles Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-STL Cardinals ML (+100) | 0.25 Units

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Why This Pick?

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STL Cardinals v BAL Orioles: I admit, Cade Povich (4.86 ERA) has a few nice starts under his belt. That said, do I trust him as a reliable arm on a regular basis? Absolutely not. Povich's ERA is still hovering just under 5, and once the Baltimore bullpen comes in, I think this game is going to turn into a slugfest. To boot, I honestly can't remember the last time the Orioles won a game as the favoured team (lol). I'm on the Over to hit and on the Cardinals to pull off a victory here.

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MIN Twins v TB Rays: Both of today's pitchers are wildly capable. Twins starter Pablo Lopez has an ERA of 2.31 with over 54 strikeouts under his belt, and fares even better on the road with an Away ERA of 1.55. On the other side, Rays starter Drew Rasmussen carries an admirable 2.34 ERA overall (his Home ERA sits at 2.50). I'm on the Under to cash, betting fam.

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The Athletics v HOU Astros: This game should fly over 8 runs, friends. The Astros offense was firing on all cylinders against the Athletics yesterday – and while I don't think Severino (4.11 ERA) will slow them down a whole ton, I do think the Athletics will bag more than a few off of McCullers (6.57 ERA) this afternoon. I'll take the Over to hit.

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WAS Nationals v SEA Mariners: I’ll be frank: I don’t love either pitcher on the mound today. Mariners starter George Kirby (12.27 ERA) had a rough season debut, and the Nationals are rolling with Trevor Williams this evening who’s boasting an ERA of 6.39. The reason for this pick? I know the Nationals haven’t scored more than 6 runs over their last 4 outings, but something tells me they’ll be able to put more than a few on the board against Kirby. In addition, the Seattle offense is wide awake, and should have no issue bagging runs with Williams on the mound. I say both teams contribute to this total and the Over cashes.

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-WAS Nationals v SEA Mariners Over 8.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

I’ll be frank: I don’t love either pitcher on the mound today. Mariners starter George Kirby (12.27 ERA) had a rough season debut, and the Nationals are rolling with Trevor Williams this evening who’s boasting an ERA of 6.39. The reason for this pick? I know the Nationals haven’t scored more than 6 runs over their last 4 outings, but something tells me they’ll be able to put more than a few on the board against Kirby. In addition, the Seattle offense is wide awake, and should have no issue bagging runs with Williams on the mound. I say both teams contribute to this total and the Over cashes.

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This might be the most conflicted I've ever been with a betting day, friends. Overall, we walked out of this day mad profitable – which is wild for a few reasons. Tonight, our VIP Parlay hit, our Premium Parlay hit, AND our Player Props went 4/4. And yet somehow, our single picks went 0/5?! WTF? I have so many thoughts on tonight's games – but mainly, WTF Diamondbacks? You know what, I digress – I'll get to that... For those curious, here's everything we had tonight:

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Parlay (+453) ⭐️

TOR Blue Jays v TEX Rangers Under 8.5 (alternate total) (-155) ✅

The Athletics v HOU Astros Over 8.0 (-115) ✅

NY Mets -1.5 (-125) ✅

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Premium Parlay (+812) ⭐️

HOU Astros -1.5 (-105) ✅

STL Cardinals ML (-130) ✅

LA Dodgers v CLE Guardians Over 8.0 (alterate total) (-165) ✅

MIN Twins v TB Rays Under 9.0 (alternate total) (-155) ✅

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Player Props (4/4)

CHI White Sox v NY Mets: Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) ✅

DAL Stars v EDM Oilers: Leon Draisaitl Anytime Goal Scorer (+115) ✅

NY Knicks v IND Pacers: Tyrese Haliburton Over 21.5 Points (-115) ✅

NY Knicks v IND Pacers: Karl Anthony Towns Over 34.5 Points, Assists & Rebounds (-120) ✅

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Straight Picks (0/5) ??????

-CHI White Sox v NY Mets Under 8.0 (-115) ❌

-ATL Braves v PHI Phillies Over 8.5 (-110) ❌

-KC Royals ML (-120) ❌

-SF Giants ML (-120) ❌

-ARI Diamondbacks -1.5 (-125) ❌

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Some days, MLB can be a real pain in the ass (lol). Exclusive tier friends, I will make this up to you :) I know some of the tiers do better on some nights than others, but this one felt wildly unfair. At the very least, I thought the Diamondbacks would hold on at 6-2...but somehow the Pirates came back and won 9-6?! This game result felt like a freak accident 😂

It's been a weird few weeks. It's funny how a week of taking losses can make you feel shitty about even your best betting strategies. Hell, any time in the red feels like an eternity!

Comically, it takes almost no time to get back into the winning column. 💰😉 Keep that in mind, friends! Because yes, single game picks were brutal tonight, but that didn't stop me from making it back and then some elsewhere! And rest assured, we will make those single pick losses back elsewhere.

Tomorrow's a new day, friends! I'll see you all bright and early to do it all again (Exclusive Tier, your turn to sweep...)

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X

Belle

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Today's Picks

-CHI White Sox v NY Mets Under 8.0 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-ATL Braves v PHI Phillies Over 8.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals ML (-120) | 0.25 Units

-SF Giants ML (-120) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks -1.5 (-125) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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CHI White Sox v NY Mets: 9 of the last 10 encounters between these two teams have seen 8 runs or less; that’s an overwhelming statistic. On the mound, Tylor Megill (3.56 ERA) is one of New York’s best pitchers, and while Jonathan Cannon (3.76 ERA) is no ace, he’s one of the White Sox’s stronger arms. Between today’s two starters and an extensive history of low-scoring meetings, I’m on the Under to cash.

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CIN Reds v KC Royals: I stayed off of this matchup yesterday, but today? I can't resist throwing down on this pitching matchup. Kansas City starter David Lynch is an impressive 3-1 with a 1.57 ERA against Cincinnati's Brady Singer (4.88 ERA, 5-3). That said, Singer's Away ERA presently sits at 6.66. My money's on the Royals to turn up & bag a home win.

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ATL Braves v PHI Phillies: I love this pick due to my dislike for the bullpens on both sides of this wager. While I think both squads will bag a few runs early, I have a feeling the later innings are going to see a healthy number of runs hit the board. I've gotta go with the Over.

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SF Giants v DET Tigers: I just can’t get behind the Tigers with Jack Flaherty on the mound; the man is 2-6 going up against San Francisco’s Logan Webb’s 5-4 this afternoon. Meanwhile, the Giants have alternated wins & losses over their last 7 outings. Despite the Giants’ offense not being as consistent as I’d like it to be, Detroit’s batting lineup has also cooled off quite a bit over the last couple weeks. My money’s on the better pitching staff today, friends – take SF to win.

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PIT Pirates v ARI Diamondbacks: Corbin Burnes (2.73 ERA) vs a rookie and the Pirates offense? I’ll bet. This should be a comfortable victory for Arizona, betting fam. To be fair, Mike Burrows (7.20 ERA) has only had one outing so far this season – and I might’ve taken my chances on him if Pittsburgh’s batting lineup was stronger…but Corbin Burnes is just too dialled at the moment. I imagine today’s encounter will go a lot like yesterday’s did (the Diamondbacks won 5-0). I’m on Arizona to cover the RL.

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Today's Parlays

Parlay (+453) | 0.20 Units

TOR Blue Jays v TEX Rangers Under 8.5 (alternate total) (-155)

The Athletics v HOU Astros Over 8.0 (-115)

NY Mets -1.5 (-125)

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Today's Player Props

CHI White Sox v NY Mets: Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.15 Units

DAL Stars v EDM Oilers: Leon Draisaitl Anytime Goal Scorer (+115) | 0.15 Units

NY Knicks v IND Pacers: Tyrese Haliburton Over 21.5 Points (-115) | 0.20 Units

NY Knicks v IND Pacers: Karl Anthony Towns Over 34.5 Points, Assists & Rebounds (-120) | 0.20 Units

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