Today's Picks

-BUF Sabres v MTL Canadiens Over 6.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-MIA Marlins v TB Rays Under 7.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-TB Rays -1.5 (+150) | 0.5 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105) | 0.25 Units

‍

Why These Picks?

‍

ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies: This line surprises me. Rockies starter Tomoyuki Sugano (4.07 ERA) has allowed 9 runs over his last two starts and allowed a ridiculous 3 HRs on his last trip to the mound. On the other side, Eduardo Rodriguez’s last 5 straight starts have resulted in a win for Arizona, and every one of those victories was by at least 3 runs. The Diamondbacks should have no issue covering the RL here; I’m on Arizona to win by at least 2.

‍

MIA Marlins v TB Rays: Every single one of Nick Martinez’s (1.70 ERA) last 5 starts has seen 7 runs or less. I like the Under here; and while Sandy Alcantara has been less efficient on the road than he has been at home, he’s still a solid starter behind Max Meyer & Eury Perez. To be frank, I just don't think Miami will get more than 1 past Martinez. My money’s on a low-scoring affair, and I’ll take the Rays to cover the RL.

‍

BUF Sabres v MTL Canadiens: 4 of the 5 games in this series have seen at least 6 goals, friends. While the Sabres have their backs against the wall this evening, I still think this encounter will wind up being a higher-scoring one. I’m on the Over to cash.

‍

Happy Saturday, friends! I’ll get right to it today, as games start fairly early. The good news? Player Props cashed 3/4 last night! The bad news? Picks hit a gross 1/4. That said, I do like that the one that paid was for a nice +120 (thank you, Cincinnati!) 

For those curious, here’s what we had:

Player Props (2/4)

-Trey Yesavage 6+ Strikeouts (-120) ✅

-Hunter Goodman Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120) ✅

-Mickey Moniak Over 2.5 Total Bases (+125) ❌

-Anthony Edwards Over 26.5 Points (-115) ❌

Picks (1/4)

-CIN Reds ML (+120) ✅

-ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies Over 11.5 (-110) ❌ (*Pick of the Day)

-BAL Orioles v WAS Nationals Over 9.5 (-105) ❌

-CIN Reds v CLE Guardians Under 8.0 (-115) ❌

Today's Parlay (+540) (miss)

-TB Rays ML (-120) ✅

-BOS Red Sox v ATL Braves Under 8.0 (-120) ✅

-LA Dodgers v LA Angels Over 9.0 (-110) ❌

I have to say, I’m choked that Pick of the Day was a miss. The Diamondbacks scored a ridiculous 6 runs and the Rockies put 1 in the bag in the first inning – how that Over didn’t cash, I’ll never understand. 

Our parlay was also a narrow miss – the Angels did sweet f*ck all last night 😂 (pardon my language, but it’s true…) 

Overall, not a great night – but also, not the worst.

Let’s walk it off, betting fam – we’ll bounce back over the next couple days 👊🏽

I’ll have today’s picks, props and parlays out shortly! In the meantime, enjoy your coffee ☕️

X

Belle

---

💰 Get your $100 Deposit Match from Belle & Sleeper: https://sleeper.com/promo/BELLESPICKS

🔥 Want all of my picks, props & parlays?
👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under ‘My Account’

‍🎓 Ready to level up your game?
📚 Check out Belle’s Online Betting Course

💬 Enjoying Belle’s Picks?
☕ Buy Belle a Coffee

‍

‍

Today's Picks

-ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies Over 11.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-CIN Reds v CLE Guardians Under 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

‍

Why These Picks?

‍

ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies: With Merrill Kelly (7.62 ERA) & Kyle Freeland (6.00 ERA) on the mound, I don’t doubt that both of today’s batting lineups will run up a total at Coors Field. The Rockies have bagged 12 runs over their last two outings (on the road!), I have to imagine they’ll get a considerable few past Arizona’s starter today at home. Meanwhile, Freeland has allowed a whopping 16 runs across his last 3 starts. Take the Over to cash here.

‍

CIN Reds v CLE Guardians: 4 of Tanner Bibee’s (4.17 ERA) last 5 starts have seen 8 runs or less, and he plays a much better game at home than his overall ERA suggests. That said, none of his last 5 starts have resulted in a win for the Guardians, and 4 of Andrew Abbott’s (4.47 ERA) last 5 starts have resulted in a win for the Reds. To boot, Abbott hasn’t allowed a single run in either of his last two outings. I’m on the Under hit.

‍

---

‍

Today's Player Props

-TOR Blue Jays v DET Tigers: Trey Yesavage 6+ Strikeouts (-120) | 0.20 Units

-SA Spurs v MIN Timberwolves: Anthony Edwards Over 26.5 Points (-115) | 0.20 Units

‍

----

‍

‍

Today's Picks

-ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies Over 11.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BAL Orioles v WAS Nationals Over 9.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-CIN Reds v CLE Guardians Under 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-CIN Reds ML (+120) | 0.25 Units

‍

Why These Picks?

‍

BAL Orioles v WAS Nationals: I’ve gotta go with a high-scoring affair here. Baltimore starter Shane Baz (5.48 ERA) has allowed 10 runs over history last 2 games, and at least 4 ERs in 4 of his last 5. As for the home squad, Washington starter Zack Littell is lugging around a 7.71 ERA at home. I’m on the Over to hit.

‍

ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies: With Merrill Kelly (7.62 ERA) & Kyle Freeland (6.00 ERA) on the mound, I don’t doubt that both of today’s batting lineups will run up a total at Coors Field. The Rockies have bagged 12 runs over their last two outings (on the road!), I have to imagine they’ll get a considerable few past Arizona’s starter today at home. Meanwhile, Freeland has allowed a whopping 16 runs across his last 3 starts. Take the Over to cash here.

‍

CIN Reds v CLE Guardians: 4 of Tanner Bibee’s (4.17 ERA) last 5 starts have seen 8 runs or less, and he plays a much better game at home than his overall ERA suggests. That said, none of his last 5 starts have resulted in a win for the Guardians, and 4 of Andrew Abbott’s (4.47 ERA) last 5 starts have resulted in a win for the Reds. To boot, Abbott hasn’t allowed a single run in either of his last two outings. I’m on the Under hit, but I’ll also take Cincinnati to pull off the upset for plus money.

‍

---

‍

Today's Player Props

-TOR Blue Jays v DET Tigers: Trey Yesavage 6+ Strikeouts (-120) | 0.20 Units

-SA Spurs v MIN Timberwolves: Anthony Edwards Over 26.5 Points (-115) | 0.20 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies: Hunter Goodman Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120) | 0.20 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies: Mickey Moniak Over 2.5 Total Bases (+125) | 0.20 Units

‍

----

‍

Today's Parlay (+540)

-LA Dodgers v LA Angels Over 9.0 (-110)

-TB Rays ML (-120)

-BOS Red Sox v ATL Braves Under 8.0 (-120)

‍

---

‍

Today's Picks

-ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies Over 11.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BAL Orioles v WAS Nationals Over 9.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-CIN Reds v CLE Guardians Under 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-CIN Reds ML (+120) | 0.25 Units

‍

Why These Picks?

‍

BAL Orioles v WAS Nationals: I’ve gotta go with a high-scoring affair here. Baltimore starter Shane Baz (5.48 ERA) has allowed 10 runs over history last 2 games, and at least 4 ERs in 4 of his last 5. As for the home squad, Washington starter Zack Littell is lugging around a 7.71 ERA at home. I’m on the Over to hit.

‍

ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies: With Merrill Kelly (7.62 ERA) & Kyle Freeland (6.00 ERA) on the mound, I don’t doubt that both of today’s batting lineups will run up a total at Coors Field. The Rockies have bagged 12 runs over their last two outings (on the road!), I have to imagine they’ll get a considerable few past Arizona’s starter today at home. Meanwhile, Freeland has allowed a whopping 16 runs across his last 3 starts. Take the Over to cash here.

‍

CIN Reds v CLE Guardians: 4 of Tanner Bibee’s (4.17 ERA) last 5 starts have seen 8 runs or less, and he plays a much better game at home than his overall ERA suggests. That said, none of his last 5 starts have resulted in a win for the Guardians, and 4 of Andrew Abbott’s (4.47 ERA) last 5 starts have resulted in a win for the Reds. To boot, Abbott hasn’t allowed a single run in either of his last two outings. I’m on the Under hit, but I’ll also take Cincinnati to pull off the upset for plus money.

‍

---

‍

Today's Player Props

-TOR Blue Jays v DET Tigers: Trey Yesavage 6+ Strikeouts (-120) | 0.20 Units

-SA Spurs v MIN Timberwolves: Anthony Edwards Over 26.5 Points (-115) | 0.20 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies: Hunter Goodman Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120) | 0.20 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies: Mickey Moniak Over 2.5 Total Bases (+125) | 0.20 Units

‍

----

‍

Today's Parlay (+540)

-LA Dodgers v LA Angels Over 9.0 (-110)

-TB Rays ML (-120)

-BOS Red Sox v ATL Braves Under 8.0 (-120)

‍

---

Today's Picks

-ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies Over 11.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BAL Orioles v WAS Nationals Over 9.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-CIN Reds v CLE Guardians Under 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-CIN Reds ML (+120) | 0.25 Units

‍

Why These Picks?

‍

BAL Orioles v WAS Nationals: I’ve gotta go with a high-scoring affair here. Baltimore starter Shane Baz (5.48 ERA) has allowed 10 runs over history last 2 games, and at least 4 ERs in 4 of his last 5. As for the home squad, Washington starter Zack Littell is lugging around a 7.71 ERA at home. I’m on the Over to hit.

‍

ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies: With Merrill Kelly (7.62 ERA) & Kyle Freeland (6.00 ERA) on the mound, I don’t doubt that both of today’s batting lineups will run up a total at Coors Field. The Rockies have bagged 12 runs over their last two outings (on the road!), I have to imagine they’ll get a considerable few past Arizona’s starter today at home. Meanwhile, Freeland has allowed a whopping 16 runs across his last 3 starts. Take the Over to cash here.

‍

CIN Reds v CLE Guardians: 4 of Tanner Bibee’s (4.17 ERA) last 5 starts have seen 8 runs or less, and he plays a much better game at home than his overall ERA suggests. That said, none of his last 5 starts have resulted in a win for the Guardians, and 4 of Andrew Abbott’s (4.47 ERA) last 5 starts have resulted in a win for the Reds. To boot, Abbott hasn’t allowed a single run in either of his last two outings. I’m on the Under hit, but I’ll also take Cincinnati to pull off the upset for plus money.

‍

---

‍

Today's Player Props

-TOR Blue Jays v DET Tigers: Trey Yesavage 6+ Strikeouts (-120) | 0.20 Units

-SA Spurs v MIN Timberwolves: Anthony Edwards Over 26.5 Points (-115) | 0.20 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies: Hunter Goodman Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120) | 0.20 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies: Mickey Moniak Over 2.5 Total Bases (+125) | 0.20 Units

‍

----

Today's Picks

-ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies Over 11.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BAL Orioles v WAS Nationals Over 9.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-CIN Reds v CLE Guardians Under 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-CIN Reds ML (+120) | 0.25 Units

‍

Why These Picks?

‍

BAL Orioles v WAS Nationals: I’ve gotta go with a high-scoring affair here. Baltimore starter Shane Baz (5.48 ERA) has allowed 10 runs over history last 2 games, and at least 4 ERs in 4 of his last 5. As for the home squad, Washington starter Zack Littell is lugging around a 7.71 ERA at home. I’m on the Over to hit.

‍

ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies: With Merrill Kelly (7.62 ERA) & Kyle Freeland (6.00 ERA) on the mound, I don’t doubt that both of today’s batting lineups will run up a total at Coors Field. The Rockies have bagged 12 runs over their last two outings (on the road!), I have to imagine they’ll get a considerable few past Arizona’s starter today at home. Meanwhile, Freeland has allowed a whopping 16 runs across his last 3 starts. Take the Over to cash here.

‍

CIN Reds v CLE Guardians: 4 of Tanner Bibee’s (4.17 ERA) last 5 starts have seen 8 runs or less, and he plays a much better game at home than his overall ERA suggests. That said, none of his last 5 starts have resulted in a win for the Guardians, and 4 of Andrew Abbott’s (4.47 ERA) last 5 starts have resulted in a win for the Reds. To boot, Abbott hasn’t allowed a single run in either of his last two outings. I’m on the Under hit, but I’ll also take Cincinnati to pull off the upset for plus money.

‍

-ARI Diamondbacks v COL Rockies Over 11.5 (-110) | 0.5 Units

‍

Why This Pick?

With Merrill Kelly (7.62 ERA) & Kyle Freeland (6.00 ERA) on the mound, I don’t doubt that both of today’s batting lineups will run up a total at Coors Field. The Rockies have bagged 12 runs over their last two outings (on the road!), I have to imagine they’ll get a considerable few past Arizona’s starter today at home. Meanwhile, Freeland has allowed a whopping 16 runs across his last 3 starts. Take the Over to cash here.

‍

---

💰 Get your $100 Deposit Match from Belle & Sleeper: https://sleeper.com/promo/BELLESPICKS

🔥 Want all of my picks, props & parlays?
👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under ‘My Account’

‍🎓 Ready to level up your game?
📚 Check out Belle’s Online Betting Course

💬 Enjoying Belle’s Picks?
☕ Buy Belle a Coffee

‍

‍

I know, friends – I hate days like this too!

Pick of the Day aside, no matter how long I look at today’s schedule, I just don’t love anything enough to put our money on it.

That said, I already see some great spots for tomorrow 👊🏽 

Today will just be the Pick of the Day play – but I’ll have a full list of picks, props & parlays out the door for everyone tomorrow ☺️

Cheers all, and go Astros!

X

Belle

---

💰 Get your $100 Deposit Match from Belle & Sleeper: https://sleeper.com/promo/BELLESPICKS

🔥 Want all of my picks, props & parlays?
👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under ‘My Account’

‍🎓 Ready to level up your game?
📚 Check out Belle’s Online Betting Course

💬 Enjoying Belle’s Picks?
☕ Buy Belle a Coffee

‍

-HOU Astros ML (+110) | 0.5 Units

‍

Why This Pick?

Mariners starter Luis Castillo (6.57 ERA) has allowed a staggering 15 runs over just his last 3 starts and remains 0-4 on the mound; I wouldn’t be at all surprised by an upset here. While Mike Burrows (5.04 ERA) hasn’t been the most efficient starter for Houston, he’s only allowed 5 runs across his last 3 outings and is coming off a very efficient start against Cincinnati. I’ll happily take the Astros today to bag a win at home.

‍

---

💰 Get your $100 Deposit Match from Belle & Sleeper: https://sleeper.com/promo/BELLESPICKS

🔥 Want all of my picks, props & parlays?
👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under ‘My Account’

‍🎓 Ready to level up your game?
📚 Check out Belle’s Online Betting Course

💬 Enjoying Belle’s Picks?
☕ Buy Belle a Coffee

‍