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May 4, 2026: Belle’s Pick of the Day 🛎️

May 4, 2026

-PHI Phillies v MIA Marlins Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

Why This Pick?

Starter Aaron Nola (6.03 ERA) has just become synonymous with “a lot of runs” in my mind this season, friends. Nola has allowed 11 runs and 13 hits in just his last two outings, and despite Jansen Junk (3.00 ERA) being pretty solid on the other side of this match up, I still think the game sees at least 9 now that Philly has found their footing offensively. Take the Over to cash here.

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May 4, 2026: VIP Parlay cashes, Prop Sweep ☕️😌💰

May 4, 2026

Good morning all!

 

Today’s recap of yesterday is brought to you by my coffee 😅 I’ve got picks to send out shortly, so I’ll dive right in! Props & VIP tier, you guys crushed it last night – Player Props swept hitting 3/3 and our VIP parlay cashed in full for a nice +495 return 🔥

 

Picks did not fare so hot yesterday going 0/3 (whomp whomp…) but overall, we still came out of the day green! 

 

For those curious, here’s what we had:

 

Parlay (+495) 🎉

-CHI Cubs ML (-160) ✅

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (+120) ✅

-TEX Rangers v DET Tigers Over 7.5 (alternate total) (-150) ✅

 

🌟For those asking: parlays go out on the VIP Tier! 

 

Player Props (3/3)

-Parker Messick 6+ Strikeouts (-110) (*Prop of the Day) ✅

-Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) ✅

-Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) ✅

 

Picks (0/3)

-CLE Guardians ML (-120) ❌

-MIL Brewers v WAS Nationals Over 8.5 (-115) ❌

-TOR Raptors +8.0 (-110) ❌

 

 

I will say, I’m stunned that Guardians pitcher Parker Messick had a meltdown in the fifth inning of our Pick of the Day game. Unfortunate for sure, but the man has been flawless since season start. The loss there doesn’t bother me too much, as there’s no version of this universe where I’d have bet against him (especially not the way the Athletics bullpen has been looking…)

 

Of course, the silver lining there is that Messick cashed our Prop of the Day before he made his exit 👊🏽😌

 

Alright everyone, it’s a new day! Let's do it all again 😁 I’ll have picks out shortly.

 

X

Belle

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May 3, 2026: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays (Premium) ⚾️🏀

May 4, 2026

Today's Picks

-CLE Guardians ML (-120) | 0.5 Units

-MIL Brewers v WAS Nationals Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-TOR Raptors +8.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

CLE Guardians v Athletics: Guardians starter Parker Messick (1.73 ERA) is elite. No joke, I’ve been waiting for this guy to start again just so I can confidently throw down on a Cleveland ML. Well friends, today’s the day. Messick is 3-0 this season, and while I don’t hate As starter Aaron Civale (3.23 ERA), the Athletics’ bullpen is atrocious in addition to Messick being the better arm. My money’s on Cleveland to bag another win this afternoon.

MIL Brewers v WAS Nationals: I’m on the Over here, friends. 4 of PJ Poulin’s last 5 starts have all seen at least 9 runs, and Brewers starter Logan Henderson brings a 9.00 ERA with him to the mound today. I say this game winds up being a shoot out from the get-go.

TOR Raptors v CLE Cavaliers: While neither of these squads has been able to win on the road in this series, I think the Raptors will – at the very least – come close this evening. Toronto’s last game in Cleveland finished within 5 points; I say tonight’s game finishes within an even narrower margin. Take the Raptors to cover.

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Today's Player Props

-CLE Guardians v Athletics: Parker Messick 6+ Strikeouts (-110) | 0.25 Units (*Prop of the Day)

-ARI Diamondbacks v CHI Cubs: Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) | 0.20 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v CHI Cubs: Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+495) | 0.20 Units

-CHI Cubs ML (-160)

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (+120)

-TEX Rangers v DET Tigers Over 7.5 (alternate total) (-150)

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May 3, 2026: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays ⚾️🏀

May 4, 2026

Today's Picks

-CLE Guardians ML (-120) | 0.5 Units

-MIL Brewers v WAS Nationals Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-TOR Raptors +8.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

CLE Guardians v Athletics: Guardians starter Parker Messick (1.73 ERA) is elite. No joke, I’ve been waiting for this guy to start again just so I can confidently throw down on a Cleveland ML. Well friends, today’s the day. Messick is 3-0 this season, and while I don’t hate As starter Aaron Civale (3.23 ERA), the Athletics’ bullpen is atrocious in addition to Messick being the better arm. My money’s on Cleveland to bag another win this afternoon.

MIL Brewers v WAS Nationals: I’m on the Over here, friends. 4 of PJ Poulin’s last 5 starts have all seen at least 9 runs, and Brewers starter Logan Henderson brings a 9.00 ERA with him to the mound today. I say this game winds up being a shoot out from the get-go.

TOR Raptors v CLE Cavaliers: While neither of these squads has been able to win on the road in this series, I think the Raptors will – at the very least – come close this evening. Toronto’s last game in Cleveland finished within 5 points; I say tonight’s game finishes within an even narrower margin. Take the Raptors to cover.

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Today's Player Props

-CLE Guardians v Athletics: Parker Messick 6+ Strikeouts (-110) | 0.25 Units (*Prop of the Day)

-ARI Diamondbacks v CHI Cubs: Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) | 0.20 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v CHI Cubs: Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+495) | 0.20 Units

-CHI Cubs ML (-160)

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (+120)

-TEX Rangers v DET Tigers Over 7.5 (alternate total) (-150)

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May 3, 2026: Belle's Picks & Props ⚾️🏀

May 4, 2026

Today's Picks

-CLE Guardians ML (-120) | 0.5 Units

-MIL Brewers v WAS Nationals Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

CLE Guardians v Athletics: Guardians starter Parker Messick (1.73 ERA) is elite. No joke, I’ve been waiting for this guy to start again just so I can confidently throw down on a Cleveland ML. Well friends, today’s the day. Messick is 3-0 this season, and while I don’t hate As starter Aaron Civale (3.23 ERA), the Athletics’ bullpen is atrocious in addition to Messick being the better arm. My money’s on Cleveland to bag another win this afternoon.

MIL Brewers v WAS Nationals: I’m on the Over here, friends. 4 of PJ Poulin’s last 5 starts have all seen at least 9 runs, and Brewers starter Logan Henderson brings a 9.00 ERA with him to the mound today. I say this game winds up being a shoot out from the get-go.

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Today's Player Props

-CLE Guardians v Athletics: Parker Messick 6+ Strikeouts (-110) | 0.25 Units (*Prop of the Day)

-ARI Diamondbacks v CHI Cubs: Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) | 0.20 Units

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May 3, 2026: Belle's Picks & Player Props ⚾️🏀

May 4, 2026

Today's Picks

-CLE Guardians ML (-120) | 0.5 Units

-MIL Brewers v WAS Nationals Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-TOR Raptors +8.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

CLE Guardians v Athletics: Guardians starter Parker Messick (1.73 ERA) is elite. No joke, I’ve been waiting for this guy to start again just so I can confidently throw down on a Cleveland ML. Well friends, today’s the day. Messick is 3-0 this season, and while I don’t hate As starter Aaron Civale (3.23 ERA), the Athletics’ bullpen is atrocious in addition to Messick being the better arm. My money’s on Cleveland to bag another win this afternoon.

MIL Brewers v WAS Nationals: I’m on the Over here, friends. 4 of PJ Poulin’s last 5 starts have all seen at least 9 runs, and Brewers starter Logan Henderson brings a 9.00 ERA with him to the mound today. I say this game winds up being a shoot out from the get-go.

TOR Raptors v CLE Cavaliers: While neither of these squads has been able to win on the road in this series, I think the Raptors will – at the very least – come close this evening. Toronto’s last game in Cleveland finished within 5 points; I say tonight’s game finishes within an even narrower margin. Take the Raptors to cover.

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Today's Player Props

-CLE Guardians v Athletics: Parker Messick 6+ Strikeouts (-110) | 0.25 Units (*Prop of the Day)

-ARI Diamondbacks v CHI Cubs: Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) | 0.20 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks v CHI Cubs: Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) | 0.20 Units

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May 3, 2026: Belle's Picks ⚾️🏀

May 4, 2026

Today's Picks

-CLE Guardians ML (-120) | 0.5 Units

-MIL Brewers v WAS Nationals Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-TOR Raptors +8.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

Why These Picks?

CLE Guardians v Athletics: Guardians starter Parker Messick (1.73 ERA) is elite. No joke, I’ve been waiting for this guy to start again just so I can confidently throw down on a Cleveland ML. Well friends, today’s the day. Messick is 3-0 this season, and while I don’t hate As starter Aaron Civale (3.23 ERA), the Athletics’ bullpen is atrocious in addition to Messick being the better arm. My money’s on Cleveland to bag another win this afternoon.

MIL Brewers v WAS Nationals: I’m on the Over here, friends. 4 of PJ Poulin’s last 5 starts have all seen at least 9 runs, and Brewers starter Logan Henderson brings a 9.00 ERA with him to the mound today. I say this game winds up being a shoot out from the get-go.

TOR Raptors v CLE Cavaliers: While neither of these squads has been able to win on the road in this series, I think the Raptors will – at the very least – come close this evening. Toronto’s last game in Cleveland finished within 5 points; I say tonight’s game finishes within an even narrower margin. Take the Raptors to cover.

May 3, 2026: Belle’s Pick of the Day 🛎️

May 4, 2026

-CLE Guardians ML (-120) | 0.5 Units

Why This Pick?

Guardians starter Parker Messick (1.73 ERA) is elite. No joke, I’ve been waiting for this guy to start again just so I can confidently throw down on a Cleveland ML. Well friends, today’s the day. Messick is 3-0 this season, and while I don’t hate As starter Aaron Civale (3.23 ERA), the Athletics’ bullpen is atrocious in addition to Messick being the better arm. My money’s on Cleveland to bag another win this afternoon.

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May 2, 2026: Another One 💰🔥 Props Sweep (3/3), POTD hits!

May 2, 2026

May pays again, friends! Today was another great day – Player Props got the sweep (3/3), and Picks cashed 1/2! The winner was our Pick of the Day, so we finished this evening profitable 💚

A big congrats if you tailed today’s slate – for those curious, here’s what we had:

Today's Player Props (3/3)

-Nick Kurtz Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100)  ✅

-Shea Langeliers Over 1.5 Total Bases (-130) ✅

-Joel Embiid Over 25.5 Points (-125) ✅

Picks (1/2)

-CLE Guardians v Athletics Over 10.0 (-110) ✅ (*Pick of the Day)

-ARI Diamondbacks v CHI Cubs Over 7.0 (-120) ❌

Parlay (+622) (Miss)

-CHI Cubs -1.5 (+130)

-Athletics ML (-140)

-LA Dodgers v STL Cardinals Over 8.5 (-120)

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Tonight’s parlay was a miss, but that’s okay because we made great money anyhow 😌👊🏽

Alright everyone, I’m off for the evening. As always, I’ll see you all bright and early to conquer the books!

X

Belle

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🔥 Want all of my picks, props & parlays?
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May 2, 2026: Belle's Picks, Player Props & Parlays (Premium) ⚾️🏀

May 2, 2026

Today's Picks

-ARI Diamondbacks v CHI Cubs Over 7.0 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-CLE Guardians v Athletics Over 10.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

Why These Picks?

ARI Diamondbacks v CHI Cubs: Diamondbacks starter Ryne Nelson (7.71 ERA) is giving up way too many runs for me to think this game doesn’t see at least 8. Shota Imanaga (3.14 ERA) is undoubtedly the better arm in this matchup; I won’t be surprised if Chicago cashes this Over by themselves (even with the wind blowing in at Wrigley today). Nelson is better on the road, but he’s allowed a staggering 14 runs over just his last two starts and Arizona has seen totals of at least 8 in their last 6 straight games. 8 runs is a very achievable milestone for these two offenses, friends – take the Over to cash.

CLE Guardians v the Athletics: 10 runs is a tall order, I know – but Slade Cecconi (6.23 ERA) has been rough, friends. The Guardians have lost his last 5 straight starts, and the As have put at least 5 runs on the board in each of their last 3 games. Despite Jacob Lopez’s 5.84 ERA, he’s had a much better last few outings than Cecconi. I like the As to get to the Guardians early, and Cleveland’s offense to put enough on the board to push this total to 11. This encounter should see plenty of action. I’m on the Over to hit today.

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Today's Player Props

-CLE Guardians v the Athletics: Nick Kurtz Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) | 0.20 Units

-CLE Guardians v the Athletics: Shea Langeliers Over 1.5 Total Bases (-130) | 0.20 Units

-PHI 76ers v BOS Celtics: Joel Embiid Over 25.5 Points (-125) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+622) | 0.20 Units

-CHI Cubs -1.5 (+130)

-Athletics ML (-140)

-LA Dodgers v STL Cardinals Over 8.5 (-120)

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