Coffee, conversation & today’s best bet.

 

First Sips

 

Good morning, friends – and Happy Thanksgiving to all of my Canadian subscribers 🦃🇨🇦 I hope you’re roasting something tasty! Oh man, SO much to talk about after yesterday’s games. And I think I speak for all of us when I say, “WTF was this last week of betting?” Seriously! So many players falling short of their typical milestones, teams shitting the bed (for lack of a better term…) in the stupidest of ways, piss poor clock management, missed field goals (plural!!), simply deciding NOT to make a game-winning kick because…why?! That NY Giants/WAS Commanders ending yesterday was diabolical! If you’re in a survivor pool and, God help you, had the Commanders to win yesterday, you have my sincerest condolences 😂 Let’s just call a spade a spade, betting family: The last week was trash! Perhaps we were due for a garbage week, but damn – that one hurt. Let’s walk it off – it’s a new week! And I know I sound like a broken record saying this, but bankroll management is SO IMPORTANT, people! It is sportsbook’s job to try and clean you out, and the only way to win at this long-term is to stay consistent and manage your bankroll properly. If you have no clue how to do that, I encourage you to check out one of the many FREE resources I have online (start with my YouTube channel!) Or, if you’re looking for something more serious, go check out my online course 😌👊🏽 Alright folks, here’s today’s play…

 

 

Pick of the Day

 

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-BUF Bills +3.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

 

The Bills have covered +3.5 in all of their last 5 meetings with the Rams (Buffalo won outright in 3 of those 5). In addition, Josh Allen & company have covered that spread in all 4 of the games they’ve played so far this season. Despite LA having the home advantage today, there isn’t much of an argument that supports a Rams victory by more than a field goal. For this reason, my money’s on the visitors to cover. 

 

 

What’s Brewing?

 

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That's all I've got for today's First Cup, friends! 

 

Best of luck with Pick of the Day – enjoy your coffee. 

 

X

Belle

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