Today's Picks
-LA Angels v KC Royals Over 8.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units
-NY Mets -1.5 (+100) | 0.25 Units
-COL Rockies v NY Mets Over 7.5 (-105) | 0.25 Units
-BOS Celtics v PHI 76ers Under 215.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units
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Why These Picks?
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LA Angels v KC Royals: Yusei Kikuchi might be one of if not the least effective starting pitcher for the Angels right now. The man is boasting a 7.62 ERA away from home, and 4 of his last 5 starts have equated to losses for LA. Meanwhile, Royals starter Noah Cameron (5.40 ERA) has allowed a staggering 10 earned runs over just his last two starts. The Over should cash with ease here, friends. My money’s on a high-scoring affair.
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COL Rockies v NY Mets: Let me start by saying that this line feels trappy as all hell, ha ha! But let’s break it down for a moment. Michael Lorenzen’s last 5 starts have all cashed the Over in spades and saw at least 10 runs. To be fair, Lorenzen only really pitched terribly in 1 of those 5 (allowing the Phillies to bag 9 runs off of him), so I get why the book is (maybe?) thinks 7.5 is solid. That said, he also allowed at least 7 hits in 3 of his last 4 outings. On the other side, Freddy Peralta has been decent but hittable. I think the Mets have a solid opportunity to run up a score here – the Rockies have lost their last 5 straight meetings with NY by at least 2 runs, and 4 of those 5 have gone well beyond 7.5; this line is just too low. I say the Over cashes today and the Mets cover the RL.
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BOS Celtics v PHI 76ers: The Under has cashed in the last 4 straight meetings between these two squads; and as the stakes get higher, I only see the defense on both sides of the ball getting tougher to get past. I’ll ride this ticket until it stops cashing; take the Under to hit.
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