Today's Picks

-CHI Cubs -1.5 (+110) | 0.25 Units

-CHI Cubs Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-CIN Reds v PIT Pirates Over 7.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v LA Dodgers Over 9.0 (+100) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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CHI Cubs v STL Cardinals: St. Louis Starter Michael McGreevy (5.08 ERA)  has allowed 11 runs in just his last two starts, friends. On the other side, Cubs starter Matthew Boyd (2.34 ERA) is an impressive 11-4, and has allowed 5 runs across his last 5 starts. Boyd notably got blown up by the Milwaukee Brewers on July 28th, but has allowed 0 runs in 4 of his last 5 outings. The Over has cashed in 4 of McGreevy’s last 5 starts – but to be frank, I don’t think the Cardinals will get much past Boyd today. If the Over cashes it will likely be the Cubs’ doing. I know the Chicago offense has been a bit shaky lately, but this is the perfect spot for them to turn up. My money’s on the visitors to cover the RL & put at least 5 on the board.

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CIN Reds v PIT Pirates: This might be the strangest line on the board today – a trap? Maybe – but to be honest, I understand why it is where it is. For starters, I can’t imagine either of these pitchers keeping this game Under 7.5. The Reds offense can be dangerous when they want to be, and I have no doubt they give Pittsburgh starter Mitch Keller (3.89 ERA) a run for his money. Keller has allowed 8 runs in just his last two starts – and oddly, while Chase Burns’ (6.04 ERA) last 5 outings have resulted in a loss for the Reds, not a single one made it Over 7 runs. Having said that, the Pirates offense is undoubtedly at their best at home. A gamble for sure, I wouldn’t blame you for sitting this one out –  but one that might pay off early. I’m on the Over to hit.

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TOR Blue Jays v LA Dodgers: This game either lands right on 9 runs, or goes Over in my opinion. The Blue Jays offense is hitting the ball far too well right now for me to take the Under. To boot, the Jays have seen the Over cash in 8 of their last 10 games – and I have no doubt the Dodgers put enough on the board to push this total to or past 9. I'll take a stab at the Over for plus money.

A quick note, friends – MLB has been wild this last couple weeks (particularly for POTD), so if you're playing it today, feel free to lower your units placed on it. There's literally nothing wrong with playing a bit lighter until things get hot again ;)

On that note:

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‍-CHI Cubs Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

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‍Why This Pick?

‍St. Louis Starter Michael McGreevy (5.08 ERA)  has allowed 11 runs in just his last two starts, friends. On the other side, Cubs starter Matthew Boyd (2.34 ERA) is an impressive 11-4, and has allowed 5 runs across his last 5 starts. Boyd notably got blown up by the Milwaukee Brewers on July 28th, but has allowed 0 runs in 4 of his last 5 outings. The Over has cashed in 4 of McGreevy’s last 5 starts – but to be frank, I don’t think the Cardinals will get much past Boyd today. If the Over cashes it will likely be the Cubs’ doing. I know the Chicago offense has been a bit shaky lately, but this is the perfect spot for them to turn up. My money’s on the visitors to put at least 5 on the board.

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‍

Today's Picks

-SEA Mariners Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-CIN Reds v PIT Pirates Under 7.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-MIA Marlins ML (-125)

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Why These Picks?

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SEA Mariners v CHI White Sox: Seattle has absolutely dominated this series, and today should be no exception. The Mariners have scored at least 5 runs in 6 of their last 7 meetings with the White Sox – and with the home advantage and their offense cooking the way that it is, I won’t be surprised if they cash today’s Over for both teams all by themselves. That said, Chicago will desperately be trying to avoid getting swept, and Seattle barely held onto the RL cover last night (steering clear of that today…). For all of these reasons, my money is on the Mariners to put at least 5 in the bag.

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CIN Reds v PIT Pirates: I simply can’t wrap my head around a high-scoring game with Paul Skenes on the mound at home. With the exception of Skenes’ start at notorious Coors Field, he’s only allowed 2 runs over 4 of his last 5 starts. And while I’m not the biggest Brady Singer fan, only one of his last 5 starts have seen a total of more than 7 runs. I’m on the Under to hit for this one.

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MIA Marlins v ATL Braves: Starter Eury Perez (2.70 ERA) is a much more reliable arm than Carlos Carrasco (5.68 ERA), friends. Having won 6 of their last 8 games, I’ve gotta run with the Marlins here. The Braves offense has been the definition of unreliable, and against Perez? I don’t see them putting more on the board than Miami. Take the Marlins to win on the road.

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Today's Player Props

-MIA Marlins v ATL Braves: Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130) | 0.15 Units

-MIA Marlins v ATL Braves: Nacho Alvarez Jr. Over 0.5 Bases (-130) | 0.20 Units

-CHI White Sox v SEA Mariners: Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+535) | 0.20 Units

-CHI White Sox v SEA Mariners Over 7.5 (+105)

-PIT Pirates Team Total Over 3.5 (-120) 

-MIA Marlins v ATL Braves Over 7.5 (alternate total) (-145)

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Today's Picks

-SEA Mariners Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-CIN Reds v PIT Pirates Under 7.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-MIA Marlins ML (-125)

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Why These Picks?

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SEA Mariners v CHI White Sox: Seattle has absolutely dominated this series, and today should be no exception. The Mariners have scored at least 5 runs in 6 of their last 7 meetings with the White Sox – and with the home advantage and their offense cooking the way that it is, I won’t be surprised if they cash today’s Over for both teams all by themselves. That said, Chicago will desperately be trying to avoid getting swept, and Seattle barely held onto the RL cover last night (steering clear of that today…). For all of these reasons, my money is on the Mariners to put at least 5 in the bag.

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CIN Reds v PIT Pirates: I simply can’t wrap my head around a high-scoring game with Paul Skenes on the mound at home. With the exception of Skenes’ start at notorious Coors Field, he’s only allowed 2 runs over 4 of his last 5 starts. And while I’m not the biggest Brady Singer fan, only one of his last 5 starts have seen a total of more than 7 runs. I’m on the Under to hit for this one.

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MIA Marlins v ATL Braves: Starter Eury Perez (2.70 ERA) is a much more reliable arm than Carlos Carrasco (5.68 ERA), friends. Having won 6 of their last 8 games, I’ve gotta run with the Marlins here. The Braves offense has been the definition of unreliable, and against Perez? I don’t see them putting more on the board than Miami. Take the Marlins to win on the road.

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Today's Player Props

-MIA Marlins v ATL Braves: Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130) | 0.15 Units

-MIA Marlins v ATL Braves: Nacho Alvarez Jr. Over 0.5 Bases (-130) | 0.20 Units

-CHI White Sox v SEA Mariners: Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+535) | 0.20 Units

-CHI White Sox v SEA Mariners Over 7.5 (+105)

-PIT Pirates Team Total Over 3.5 (-120) 

-MIA Marlins v ATL Braves Over 7.5 (alternate total) (-145)

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Today's Picks

-SEA Mariners Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-CIN Reds v PIT Pirates Under 7.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-MIA Marlins ML (-125)

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Why These Picks?

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SEA Mariners v CHI White Sox: Seattle has absolutely dominated this series, and today should be no exception. The Mariners have scored at least 5 runs in 6 of their last 7 meetings with the White Sox – and with the home advantage and their offense cooking the way that it is, I won’t be surprised if they cash today’s Over for both teams all by themselves. That said, Chicago will desperately be trying to avoid getting swept, and Seattle barely held onto the RL cover last night (steering clear of that today…). For all of these reasons, my money is on the Mariners to put at least 5 in the bag.

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CIN Reds v PIT Pirates: I simply can’t wrap my head around a high-scoring game with Paul Skenes on the mound at home. With the exception of Skenes’ start at notorious Coors Field, he’s only allowed 2 runs over 4 of his last 5 starts. And while I’m not the biggest Brady Singer fan, only one of his last 5 starts have seen a total of more than 7 runs. I’m on the Under to hit for this one.

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MIA Marlins v ATL Braves: Starter Eury Perez (2.70 ERA) is a much more reliable arm than Carlos Carrasco (5.68 ERA), friends. Having won 6 of their last 8 games, I’ve gotta run with the Marlins here. The Braves offense has been the definition of unreliable, and against Perez? I don’t see them putting more on the board than Miami. Take the Marlins to win on the road.

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Today's Player Props

-MIA Marlins v ATL Braves: Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130) | 0.15 Units

-MIA Marlins v ATL Braves: Nacho Alvarez Jr. Over 0.5 Bases (-130) | 0.20 Units

-CHI White Sox v SEA Mariners: Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) | 0.15 Units

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Today's Picks

-SEA Mariners Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

-CIN Reds v PIT Pirates Under 7.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-MIA Marlins ML (-125)

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Why These Picks?

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SEA Mariners v CHI White Sox: Seattle has absolutely dominated this series, and today should be no exception. The Mariners have scored at least 5 runs in 6 of their last 7 meetings with the White Sox – and with the home advantage and their offense cooking the way that it is, I won’t be surprised if they cash today’s Over for both teams all by themselves. That said, Chicago will desperately be trying to avoid getting swept, and Seattle barely held onto the RL cover last night (steering clear of that today…). For all of these reasons, my money is on the Mariners to put at least 5 in the bag.

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CIN Reds v PIT Pirates: I simply can’t wrap my head around a high-scoring game with Paul Skenes on the mound at home. With the exception of Skenes’ start at notorious Coors Field, he’s only allowed 2 runs over 4 of his last 5 starts. And while I’m not the biggest Brady Singer fan, only one of his last 5 starts have seen a total of more than 7 runs. I’m on the Under to hit for this one.

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MIA Marlins v ATL Braves: Starter Eury Perez (2.70 ERA) is a much more reliable arm than Carlos Carrasco (5.68 ERA), friends. Having won 6 of their last 8 games, I’ve gotta run with the Marlins here. The Braves offense has been the definition of unreliable, and against Perez? I don’t see them putting more on the board than Miami. Take the Marlins to win on the road.

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-SEA Mariners Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

Seattle has absolutely dominated this series, and today should be no exception. The Mariners have scored 8 runs in each game of this series so far, and at least 5 runs in 6 of their last 7 meetings with the White Sox. With the home advantage and their offense cooking the way that it is, I won’t be surprised if they cash today’s Over for both teams all by themselves. That said, Chicago will desperately be trying to avoid getting swept, and Seattle barely held onto the RL cover last night (steering clear of that today…). For these reasons, my money is on the Mariners to put at least 5 in the bag.

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‍

I’ll try and keep this one brief, friends – I know it’s late! But I also made the mistake of consuming a coffee an hour ago….so strap in! Today was not our best betting day, and I hate not doing a post just because the baseball stars didn’t align.

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That said, there were some highlights. The Toronto Blue Jays absolutely crushed it (again!) I’ll be honest – I wish there was a TOR Blue Jays v COL Rockies game every day at Coors Field, ha ha! That series was an absolute cash cow for us 💰🐮

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Player Props friends, Jung Hoo Lee of the SF Giants also came through for us with 2 bases for a nice +145 return! I’m a little choked – two of today’s player props got voided because they were ruled out (…right as the Blue Jays game started). Toronto decided they didn’t like lefties today ;)

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For those in my Discord who decided to runback my “Blue Jays Home Run Bingo” parlay after yesterday’s nearly hit, I’m happy to report that today’s did hit! While a couple of hitters got ruled out, “Blue Jays HR Bingo” still turned $10 into $560! I’m thrilled. Click/tap here if you'd like to peep the slip!

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A number of you messaged me after yesterday’s Home Run parlay went 4/5, so I’m thrilled today’s attempt paid out. If you were able to hop on after I posted the slip in Discord (even just for a couple of legs!), a big congrats on your win 😉.

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Alright friends, that’s all I’ve got for the evening. As always, I’ll see you all bright and early to beat the books.

X

Belle

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‍🎓 Ready to level up your game?
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☕ Buy Belle a Coffee

‍

Today's Picks

-SF Giants Team Total Over 4.5 (-105) | 0.5 Units

-SF Giants v PIT Pirates Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 6.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-The Athletics v WAS Nationals Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-The Athletics -1.5 (+120) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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SF Giants v PIT Pirates: 4 of Andrew Heaney’s (4.89 ERA) last 5 starts have resulted in Pittsburgh’s opponents putting at least 7 runs in the bag. To be honest, I was surprised Pirates starter Mike Burrows allowed 6 yesterday – he’s been far more solid recently than Heaney. That said, I have to imagine San Fran will fair at least as well against today’s arm. The Giants have scored at least 5 runs in 3 of their last 4 outings, and the Over has cashed in their last 4 straight games. Between Heaney & the bullpen, I think San Francisco puts at least 5 runs on the board today. As for the home squad, the Pirates have cashed the Over in their last 5 straight games – good as Robbie Ray is, I have a feeling they'll contribute at least enough to push this total to 8 or more. i'll grab the overall total to land on the higher end as well.

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TOR Blue Jays v COL Rockies: I’ll admit, Rockies starter Kyle Freeland is one of their more capable arms – but I still don’t think he’ll be able to keep the Blue Jays offense from bagging at least 7 runs. To boot, -120 is a very reasonable price for one of the league’s best offenses vs the league’s worst…well, everything? Ha ha! I’m on the Jays to run up a score again, friends.

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The Athletics v WAS Nationals: There are very few Nationals encounters that wouldn’t cash the Over in my opinion – their bullpen is just too terrible, friends (lol). In addition, Athletics starter Jeffrey Springs’ last 5 straight starts have seen at least 9 runs. I’m on the Over to hit today, and I’ll sprinkle the As to cover the RL.

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Today's Player Props

-TOR Blue Jays v COL Rockies: Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135) | 0.25 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v COL Rockies: Addison Barger Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.20 Units

-SF Giants v PIT Pirates: Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Total Bases (+145) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

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VIP Parlay | 0.20 Units (+518)

-The Athletics Team Total Over 4.5 (-120) 

-MIL Brewers ML (+115)

-TOR Blue Jays -1.5 (-165)

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Premium Parlay (+832) | 0.20 Units

-SEA Mariners -1.5 (-115)

-The Athletics ML (-140)

-KC Royals v BOS Red Sox Over 8.5 (-110)

-PHI Phillies ML (-180)

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Today's Picks

-SF Giants Team Total Over 4.5 (-105) | 0.5 Units

-SF Giants v PIT Pirates Over 8.0 (-105) | 0.25 Units

-TOR Blue Jays Team Total Over 6.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-The Athletics v WAS Nationals Over 8.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

-The Athletics -1.5 (+120) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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SF Giants v PIT Pirates: 4 of Andrew Heaney’s (4.89 ERA) last 5 starts have resulted in Pittsburgh’s opponents putting at least 7 runs in the bag. To be honest, I was surprised Pirates starter Mike Burrows allowed 6 yesterday – he’s been far more solid recently than Heaney. That said, I have to imagine San Fran will fair at least as well against today’s arm. The Giants have scored at least 5 runs in 3 of their last 4 outings, and the Over has cashed in their last 4 straight games. Between Heaney & the bullpen, I think San Francisco puts at least 5 runs on the board today. As for the home squad, the Pirates have cashed the Over in their last 5 straight games – good as Robbie Ray is, I have a feeling they'll contribute at least enough to push this total to 8 or more. i'll grab the overall total to land on the higher end as well.

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TOR Blue Jays v COL Rockies: I’ll admit, Rockies starter Kyle Freeland is one of their more capable arms – but I still don’t think he’ll be able to keep the Blue Jays offense from bagging at least 7 runs. To boot, -120 is a very reasonable price for one of the league’s best offenses vs the league’s worst…well, everything? Ha ha! I’m on the Jays to run up a score again, friends.

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The Athletics v WAS Nationals: There are very few Nationals encounters that wouldn’t cash the Over in my opinion – their bullpen is just too terrible, friends (lol). In addition, Athletics starter Jeffrey Springs’ last 5 straight starts have seen at least 9 runs. I’m on the Over to hit today, and I’ll sprinkle the As to cover the RL.

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Today's Player Props

-TOR Blue Jays v COL Rockies: Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135) | 0.25 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v COL Rockies: Addison Barger Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.20 Units

-SF Giants v PIT Pirates: Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Total Bases (+145) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

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Parlay | 0.20 Units (+518)

-The Athletics Team Total Over 4.5 (-120) 

-MIL Brewers ML (+115)

-TOR Blue Jays -1.5 (-165)

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