Today's Picks

-ATL Braves v BAL Orioles Under 9.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-CIN Reds v STL Cardinals Over 8.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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ATL Braves v BAL Orioles: Trevor Rogers (4.28 EAR) has been much better over his last 5 games than his ERA suggests; not one of his last 5 trips to the mound has come anywhere close to seeing 9 runs. On the other side, while Braves starter Grant Holmes (3.70 ERA) has been “hittable” for most of the season, he hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 5 starts. My money’s on the Under to cash here, friends.

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CIN Reds v STL Cardinals: Every one of Rhett Lowder’s (5.75 ERA) last 5 trips to the mound has seen the Over cash. In addition, Lowder is particularly brutal on the road having allowed a ridiculous 14 runs over his last two starts away from home. I’ve gotta put my money on a high-scoring affair here.

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Today's Player Props

-Athletics v MIN Twins: Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120) | 0.20 Units

-ATL Braves v BAL Orioles: Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Picks

-ATL Braves v BAL Orioles Under 9.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BAL Orioles ML (-120) | 0.25 Units

-CIN Reds v STL Cardinals Over 8.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers Team Total Over 4.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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ATL Braves v BAL Orioles: Trevor Rogers (4.28 EAR) has been much better over his last 5 games than his ERA suggests; not one of his last 5 trips to the mound has come anywhere close to seeing 9 runs. On the other side, while Braves starter Grant Holmes (3.70 ERA) has been “hittable” for most of the season, he hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 5 starts. My money’s on the Under to cash here, friends.

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CIN Reds v STL Cardinals: Every one of Rhett Lowder’s (5.75 ERA) last 5 trips to the mound has seen the Over cash. In addition, Lowder is particularly brutal on the road having allowed a ridiculous 14 runs over his last two starts away from home. I’ve gotta put my money on a high-scoring affair here.

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KC Royals v DET Tigers: I don’t think the Tigers offense will have any issue getting 5 runs past the Kansas City bullpen. Having lost just two games since returning from the All-Star Break, Detroit’s fire power has had no issue delivering. I’m on the home team to put at least 5 in the bag tonight.

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Today's Player Props

-NY Yankees v PHI Phillies: Jesus Luzardo 8+ Strikeouts (-110) | 0.20 Units

-Athletics v MIN Twins: Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120) | 0.20 Units

-ATL Braves v BAL Orioles: Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+552) | 0.20 Units

-MIL Brewers Team Total Over 5.5 (+105)

-CHI White Sox ML (-130)

-LA Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5 (-125)

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Today's Picks

-ATL Braves v BAL Orioles Under 9.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BAL Orioles ML (-120) | 0.25 Units

-CIN Reds v STL Cardinals Over 8.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers Team Total Over 4.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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ATL Braves v BAL Orioles: Trevor Rogers (4.28 EAR) has been much better over his last 5 games than his ERA suggests; not one of his last 5 trips to the mound has come anywhere close to seeing 9 runs. On the other side, while Braves starter Grant Holmes (3.70 ERA) has been “hittable” for most of the season, he hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 5 starts. My money’s on the Under to cash here, friends.

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CIN Reds v STL Cardinals: Every one of Rhett Lowder’s (5.75 ERA) last 5 trips to the mound has seen the Over cash. In addition, Lowder is particularly brutal on the road having allowed a ridiculous 14 runs over his last two starts away from home. I’ve gotta put my money on a high-scoring affair here.

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KC Royals v DET Tigers: I don’t think the Tigers offense will have any issue getting 5 runs past the Kansas City bullpen. Having lost just two games since returning from the All-Star Break, Detroit’s fire power has had no issue delivering. I’m on the home team to put at least 5 in the bag tonight.

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Today's Player Props

-NY Yankees v PHI Phillies: Jesus Luzardo 8+ Strikeouts (-110) | 0.20 Units

-Athletics v MIN Twins: Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120) | 0.20 Units

-ATL Braves v BAL Orioles: Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+552) | 0.20 Units

-MIL Brewers Team Total Over 5.5 (+105)

-CHI White Sox ML (-130)

-LA Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5 (-125)

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Today's Picks

-ATL Braves v BAL Orioles Under 9.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BAL Orioles ML (-120) | 0.25 Units

-CIN Reds v STL Cardinals Over 8.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers Team Total Over 4.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

‍

ATL Braves v BAL Orioles: Trevor Rogers (4.28 EAR) has been much better over his last 5 games than his ERA suggests; not one of his last 5 trips to the mound has come anywhere close to seeing 9 runs. On the other side, while Braves starter Grant Holmes (3.70 ERA) has been “hittable” for most of the season, he hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 5 starts. My money’s on the Under to cash here, friends.

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CIN Reds v STL Cardinals: Every one of Rhett Lowder’s (5.75 ERA) last 5 trips to the mound has seen the Over cash. In addition, Lowder is particularly brutal on the road having allowed a ridiculous 14 runs over his last two starts away from home. I’ve gotta put my money on a high-scoring affair here.

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KC Royals v DET Tigers: I don’t think the Tigers offense will have any issue getting 5 runs past the Kansas City bullpen. Having lost just two games since returning from the All-Star Break, Detroit’s fire power has had no issue delivering. I’m on the home team to put at least 5 in the bag tonight.

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Today's Player Props

-NY Yankees v PHI Phillies: Jesus Luzardo 8+ Strikeouts (-110) | 0.20 Units

-Athletics v MIN Twins: Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120) | 0.20 Units

-ATL Braves v BAL Orioles: Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Picks

-ATL Braves v BAL Orioles Under 9.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

-BAL Orioles ML (-120) | 0.25 Units

-CIN Reds v STL Cardinals Over 8.0 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-DET Tigers Team Total Over 4.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

‍

ATL Braves v BAL Orioles: Trevor Rogers (4.28 EAR) has been much better over his last 5 games than his ERA suggests; not one of his last 5 trips to the mound has come anywhere close to seeing 9 runs. On the other side, while Braves starter Grant Holmes (3.70 ERA) has been “hittable” for most of the season, he hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 5 starts. My money’s on the Under to cash here, friends.

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CIN Reds v STL Cardinals: Every one of Rhett Lowder’s (5.75 ERA) last 5 trips to the mound has seen the Over cash. In addition, Lowder is particularly brutal on the road having allowed a ridiculous 14 runs over his last two starts away from home. I’ve gotta put my money on a high-scoring affair here.

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KC Royals v DET Tigers: I don’t think the Tigers offense will have any issue getting 5 runs past the Kansas City bullpen. Having lost just two games since returning from the All-Star Break, Detroit’s fire power has had no issue delivering. I’m on the home team to put at least 5 in the bag tonight.

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Coffee, conversation & today’s best bet.

First Sips

LeBron to the Sixers! F**king finally 😂 Though, why it took him so long to pick the most stacked team for the least amount of money, I'll never know – literally zero negotiation required. And now that that news is out of the way: good morning, friends! Conspiracy theory: I don't think LeBron was the one doing the "deciding" – he was probably like, "I want to play for Philly," and Philly was like "We'll think about it," 😏 The real good news? Now the NBA can make their schedule, and basketball fans can stop dying on the vine of this obvious choice. On another note, my god – MLB was brutal yesterday. "Bankroll Management Reminder Thursday," as the kids are referring to it in the Discord (lol). Overall, we had an amazing week and made some good money, but yesterday's games were a real good reminder as to why consistency is what pays. That said, let's go back to taking the book to the cleaners this afternoon, shall we?

Pick of the Day

-ATL Braves v BAL Orioles Under 9.0 (-110) | 0.5 Units

Trevor Rogers (4.28 ERA) has been much better over his last 5 games than his ERA suggests; not one of his last 5 trips to the mound has come anywhere close to seeing 9 runs. On the other side, while Braves starter Grant Holmes (3.70 ERA) has been “hittable” for most of the season, he hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 5 starts. My money’s on the Under to cash here, friends. 

What’s Brewing?

🏁 Free tier friends, check out the Starter tier!

My most accessible tier is getting popular, friends! If you're looking to give a paid tier a try without breaking the bank, The Starter is a great bang for your buck. If you want a sample of today's picks and props, give it a look.

📈 June 2026's record is available.

Curious about how we did last month? June's spreadsheet is now live on my website.

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That's all I've got for today's First Cup, friends! 

Best of luck with Pick of the Day – enjoy your coffee. 

X

Belle

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Today's Picks

-TB Rays ML (-110) | 0.5 Units

-KC Royals v DET Tigers Under 8.0 (+100) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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TB Rays v TOR Blue Jays: Fading the Blue Jays has only made me money over the last week. I don’t care that they’re dying for a win, or that they’re trying to avoid getting swept – their offense and their defense looks atrocious these days. As a Jays fan, I’m crushed; but as a betting degenerate, few things have made me more money than the Tampa Bay Rays this week (lol). Starter Ian Seymour (4.79 ERA) is a solid 3-0 on the road despite is high “away” ERA, and Tampa’s offense is firing on all cylinders. I’m on the Rays to lock down the 4-game sweep.

P.S. - Since the time of initial writing, the Rays have decided to play their bullpen instead…I’m still rolling with Tampa to win.

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KC Royals v DET Tigers: Troy Melton has been wildly efficient, friends. Not one of Melton’s last 5 trips to the mound has seen more than 8 runs, and 4 of those 5 have resulted in a Tigers victory. On the other side, while Rob Dobnak is part of the KC bullpen, he’s always pitched at least 4 innings and hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in any of his last 3 starts. I’m tossing a sprinkle on the Under to hit.

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Today's Player Props

-KC Royals v DET Tigers: Troy Melton 6+ Strikeouts (-115) | 0.20 Units

-TB Rays v TOR Blue Jays: Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Picks

-TB Rays ML (-110) | 0.5 Units

-TB Rays v TOR Blue Jays Over 8.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals v DET Tigers: Troy Melton To Record the Win (-105) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals v DET Tigers Under 8.0 (+100) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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TB Rays v TOR Blue Jays: Fading the Blue Jays has only made me money over the last week. I don’t care that they’re dying for a win, or that they’re trying to avoid getting swept – their offense and their defense looks atrocious these days. As a Jays fan, I’m crushed; but as a betting degenerate, few things have made me more money than the Tampa Bay Rays this week (lol). Starter Ian Seymour (4.79 ERA) is a solid 3-0 on the road despite is high “away” ERA, and Tampa’s offense is firing on all cylinders. I’m on the Rays to lock down the 4-game sweep.

P.S. - Since the time of initial writing, the Rays have decided to play their bullpen instead…I’m still rolling with Tampa to win, but I’m also on the Over to cash.

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KC Royals v DET Tigers: Troy Melton has been wildly efficient, friends. Not one of Melton’s last 5 trips to the mound has seen more than 8 runs, and 4 of those 5 have resulted in a Tigers victory. On the other side, while Rob Dobnak is part of the KC bullpen, he’s always pitched at least 4 innings and hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in any of his last 3 starts. I’m tossing a sprinkle on the Under to hit, and I’ll also toss a cheeky wager on Troy Melton to record the win.

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Today's Player Props

-KC Royals v DET Tigers: Troy Melton 6+ Strikeouts (-115) | 0.20 Units

-TB Rays v TOR Blue Jays: Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.20 Units

-TB Rays v TOR Blue Jays: Victor Mesa Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+155) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+521) | 0.20 Units

-TB Rays Team Total Over 4.5 (+110)

-MIN Twins v CLE Guardians Over 7.5 (+105)

-DET Tigers ML (-225)

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Today's Picks

-TB Rays ML (-110) | 0.5 Units

-TB Rays v TOR Blue Jays Over 8.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals v DET Tigers: Troy Melton To Record the Win (-105) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals v DET Tigers Under 8.0 (+100) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

‍

TB Rays v TOR Blue Jays: Fading the Blue Jays has only made me money over the last week. I don’t care that they’re dying for a win, or that they’re trying to avoid getting swept – their offense and their defense looks atrocious these days. As a Jays fan, I’m crushed; but as a betting degenerate, few things have made me more money than the Tampa Bay Rays this week (lol). Starter Ian Seymour (4.79 ERA) is a solid 3-0 on the road despite is high “away” ERA, and Tampa’s offense is firing on all cylinders. I’m on the Rays to lock down the 4-game sweep.

P.S. - Since the time of initial writing, the Rays have decided to play their bullpen instead…I’m still rolling with Tampa to win, but I’m also on the Over to cash.

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KC Royals v DET Tigers: Troy Melton has been wildly efficient, friends. Not one of Melton’s last 5 trips to the mound has seen more than 8 runs, and 4 of those 5 have resulted in a Tigers victory. On the other side, while Rob Dobnak is part of the KC bullpen, he’s always pitched at least 4 innings and hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in any of his last 3 starts. I’m tossing a sprinkle on the Under to hit, and I’ll also toss a cheeky wager on Troy Melton to record the win.

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Today's Player Props

-KC Royals v DET Tigers: Troy Melton 6+ Strikeouts (-115) | 0.20 Units

-TB Rays v TOR Blue Jays: Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.20 Units

-TB Rays v TOR Blue Jays: Victor Mesa Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+155) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+521) | 0.20 Units

-TB Rays Team Total Over 4.5 (+110)

-MIN Twins v CLE Guardians Over 7.5 (+105)

-DET Tigers ML (-225)

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Today's Picks

-TB Rays ML (-110) | 0.5 Units

-TB Rays v TOR Blue Jays Over 8.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals v DET Tigers: Troy Melton To Record the Win (-105) | 0.25 Units

-KC Royals v DET Tigers Under 8.0 (+100) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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TB Rays v TOR Blue Jays: Fading the Blue Jays has only made me money over the last week. I don’t care that they’re dying for a win, or that they’re trying to avoid getting swept – their offense and their defense looks atrocious these days. As a Jays fan, I’m crushed; but as a betting degenerate, few things have made me more money than the Tampa Bay Rays this week (lol). Starter Ian Seymour (4.79 ERA) is a solid 3-0 on the road despite is high “away” ERA, and Tampa’s offense is firing on all cylinders. I’m on the Rays to lock down the 4-game sweep.

P.S. - Since the time of initial writing, the Rays have decided to play their bullpen instead…I’m still rolling with Tampa to win, but I’m also on the Over to cash.

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KC Royals v DET Tigers: Troy Melton has been wildly efficient, friends. Not one of Melton’s last 5 trips to the mound has seen more than 8 runs, and 4 of those 5 have resulted in a Tigers victory. On the other side, while Rob Dobnak is part of the KC bullpen, he’s always pitched at least 4 innings and hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in any of his last 3 starts. I’m tossing a sprinkle on the Under to hit, and I’ll also toss a cheeky wager on Troy Melton to record the win.

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Today's Player Props

-KC Royals v DET Tigers: Troy Melton 6+ Strikeouts (-115) | 0.20 Units

-TB Rays v TOR Blue Jays: Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.20 Units

-TB Rays v TOR Blue Jays: Victor Mesa Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+155) | 0.20 Units

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