Today's Picks

*There's only one game on today's MLB schedule friends, so there's not a ton on my list – but here's what I love!

-NY Mets ML (+110) | 0.5 Units

-NY Mets Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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NY Mets v PHI Phillies: I just can’t back Aaron Nola (5.75 ERA), friends – the man is not a reliable starter, and somehow he’s even less capable at home in Philly. 4 of Nola’s last 5 starts have resulted in a loss; I’m in no rush to put my money on him. On the other side, 4 of Christian Scott’s (3.17 ERA) last 5 starts have brought about a victory for the Mets, and he’s even better on the road than his overall ERA suggests. Interestingly, Scott’s last encounter with Philadelphia resulted in a 6-2 win for New York. I’m on the Mets to pull off the upset here, and I’ll toss a sprinkle on their offense to put at least 5 runs in the bag.

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Today's Player Props

-NY Mets v PHI Phillies: Christian Scott Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+110) | 0.20 Units

-NY Mets v PHI Phillies: A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) | 0.20 Units

-NY Mets v PHI Phillies: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay (+450) | 0.20 Units

-NY Mets v PHI Phillies Under 9.5 Runs (-110)

-NY Mets v PHI Phillies: Aaron Nola 5+ Strikeouts (-180)

-NY Mets v PHI Phillies: Christian Scott 5+ Strikeouts (-190)

-NY Mets v PHI Phillies: Juan Soto 1+ Hits (-260)

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Today's Picks

*There's only one game on today's MLB schedule friends, so there's not a ton on my list – but here's what I love!

-NY Mets ML (+110) | 0.5 Units

-NY Mets Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

‍‍

Why These Picks?

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NY Mets v PHI Phillies: I just can’t back Aaron Nola (5.75 ERA), friends – the man is not a reliable starter, and somehow he’s even less capable at home in Philly. 4 of Nola’s last 5 starts have resulted in a loss; I’m in no rush to put my money on him. On the other side, 4 of Christian Scott’s (3.17 ERA) last 5 starts have brought about a victory for the Mets, and he’s even better on the road than his overall ERA suggests. Interestingly, Scott’s last encounter with Philadelphia resulted in a 6-2 win for New York. I’m on the Mets to pull off the upset here, and I’ll toss a sprinkle on their offense to put at least 5 runs in the bag.

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Today's Player Props

-NY Mets v PHI Phillies: Christian Scott Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+110) | 0.20 Units

-NY Mets v PHI Phillies: A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) | 0.20 Units

-NY Mets v PHI Phillies: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Picks

*There's only one game on today's MLB schedule friends, so there's not a ton on my list – but here's what I love!

-NY Mets ML (+110) | 0.5 Units

-NY Mets Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

‍‍

Why These Picks?

‍

NY Mets v PHI Phillies: I just can’t back Aaron Nola (5.75 ERA), friends – the man is not a reliable starter, and somehow he’s even less capable at home in Philly. 4 of Nola’s last 5 starts have resulted in a loss; I’m in no rush to put my money on him. On the other side, 4 of Christian Scott’s (3.17 ERA) last 5 starts have brought about a victory for the Mets, and he’s even better on the road than his overall ERA suggests. Interestingly, Scott’s last encounter with Philadelphia resulted in a 6-2 win for New York. I’m on the Mets to pull off the upset here, and I’ll toss a sprinkle on their offense to put at least 5 runs in the bag.

‍

‍

Today's Picks

*There's only one game on today's MLB schedule friends, so there's not a ton on my list – but here's what I love!

-NY Mets ML (+110) | 0.5 Units

-NY Mets Team Total Over 4.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

‍‍

Why These Picks?

‍

NY Mets v PHI Phillies: I just can’t back Aaron Nola (5.75 ERA), friends – the man is not a reliable starter, and somehow he’s even less capable at home in Philly. 4 of Nola’s last 5 starts have resulted in a loss; I’m in no rush to put my money on him. On the other side, 4 of Christian Scott’s (3.17 ERA) last 5 starts have brought about a victory for the Mets, and he’s even better on the road than his overall ERA suggests. Interestingly, Scott’s last encounter with Philadelphia resulted in a 6-2 win for New York. I’m on the Mets to pull off the upset here, and I’ll toss a sprinkle on their offense to put at least 5 runs in the bag.

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Today's Player Props

-NY Mets v PHI Phillies: Christian Scott Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+110) | 0.20 Units

-NY Mets v PHI Phillies: A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) | 0.20 Units

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Coffee, conversation & today’s best bet. 

First Sips

That’s right, friends – my morning email format has officially changed! Why? Because every Pick of the Day really is brought to you by my first cup of coffee ☕. And quite frankly... I missed chirping everyone's ear off in the morning. 😅 So without further ado, I give you, Belle’s First Cup (I’ll pause, for applause…). 

Pick of the Day

-NY Mets ML (+110) | 0.5 Units

I just can’t back Aaron Nola (5.75 ERA), friends – the man is not a reliable starter, and somehow he’s even less capable at home in Philly. 4 of Nola’s last 5 starts have resulted in a loss; I’m in no rush to put my money on him. On the other side, 4 of Christian Scott’s (3.17 ERA) last 5 starts have brought about a victory for the Mets, and he’s even better on the road than his overall ERA suggests. Interestingly, Scott’s last encounter with Philadelphia resulted in a 6-2 win for New York. I’m on the Mets to pull off the upset here.

What’s Brewing?

🎙️ New podcast episode!

If you're not already following my podcast on Spotify, give my latest mini-episode a listen! Full-length episodes officially begin next Wednesday.

🌟 50% Off any tier ends TODAY (3:00PM PST).

My MLB All-Star Break sale ends this afternoon! If you want 50% off your first month, off your entire year, or off a Lifetime – use code WEARESOBACK50 at checkout before the clock strikes...well, 3:00 PM PST!

📈 June 2026's record is available.

Curious about how we did last month? June's spreadsheet is now live on my website.

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That's all I've got for this morning, friends! 

Best of luck with today's Pick of the Day – enjoy your coffee. 

X

Belle

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Fun fact, friends: Baseball's back tomorrow, and if you'd like to upgrade or join a paid tier before the first pitch, now's the time!

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For the next 24 hours only, take 50% off:

• Any tier's first month (upgrades included!)
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🎟️ USE CODE AT CHECKOUT: WEARESOBACK50
⏰ EXPIRES: JULY 16, 2026 @ 3:00PM PST

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This one's short and sweet — 24 hours, then it's gone.

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See you all tomorrow at game time 😉

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X

Belle

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Friends, the MLB All-Star game was good to us – I'm thrilled 🤩 Pick of the Day cashed and Player Props hit 2/4! Overall, we came out of the day profitable 🥂 A big congratulations to those that tailed; I actually sent my All-Star picks out to all tiers today, and I'm so happy that I did 👊🏽

For those curious, here's what we had:

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Pick of the Day*

-American League Team Total Over 3.5 (-125) ✅

Player Props (2/4)

-Cody Bellinger 1+ Hits (+125) ✅

-Dylan Cease 2+ Strikeouts (+100) ✅

-Ernie Clement 1+ Hits (+100) ❌

-Freddie Freeman 1+ Hits (+105) ❌

Shoutout to Cody Bellinger for snagging that hit for a real nice +125 return, and to Dylan Cease for striking out all 3 batters in the first inning 🎉 Hilariously, the game turned out to be kind of a snoozefest, but hey – I'll take the nap if it means we wake up to profit 😂

Alright betting fam, that's all I've got for this evening. A bleak reminder, there is no MLB tomorrow. That said, baseball will return on Thursday!

Cheers friends, and have a great rest of your evening.

X

Belle

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☕ Buy Belle a Coffee

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All-Star Game Day is upon us, friends! I know that plenty of you are looking for picks and predictions for the event, so I decided to put a little round-up of my favourites together. For those betting today, here's what I've got on my list...

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-American League Over 3.5 (-125) | 0.5 Units

Starter Cristopher Sanchez will start for the National League, and to be frank, the man has had a rough few weeks on the mound. Sanchez has allowed 22 hits over his last two outings; I won’t be surprised if the first inning sees a run or two. I’m rolling with the AL to put at least 4 in the bag for this game.

-Dylan Cease 2+ Strikeouts (+100) | 0.25 Units

Both of today’s pitchers will face tough batting lineups, but I like Cease to put 2 Ks in the bag during his time on the mound. I’ll happily toss a sprinkle on this for plus money.

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-Ernie Clement 1+ Hits (+100) | 0.25 Units

Clement has been on fire; full stop. I also love the fact that he won’t be exhausted like some of the other hitters might be after partaking in yesterday’s HR Derby. I’ll toss a sprinkle on him to snag a hit.

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-Freddie Freeman 1+ Hits (+105) | 0.25 Units

I actually can’t imagine this game finishing without Freeman putting a hit in the bag… If anyone's going to get a HR past today's exceptional lineup of pitchers, I can see it being Freeman.

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-Cody Bellinger 1+ Hits (+125) | 0.25 Units

Bellinger has had a hit in each of his last 4 straight outings; I think there’s a good chance he makes contact today. And, at +125? I’ll bite.

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-MIN Lynx -12.5 (-105) | 0.5 Units

League: WNBA

Start Time: 6:00PM PST

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Why This Pick?

I’ve gotta be honest – I’m not backing a team that’s coming off a 48-point loss. And, with the Lynx being a nice 17-6 so far this season, a double-digit win over the struggling Mercury is not a stretch. While Phoenix has managed to keep some close(ish?) games over the last week, they made it abundantly clear a couple of days ago that going toe-to-toe with the league’s best is just too tall of an order; give me Minnesota to cover at home this evening.

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👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under ‘My Account’

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☕ Buy Belle a Coffee

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Above gif: How I feel when the recap goes out before 5PM & the All-Star Break is upon us.

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I have to say, it sure is nice not to be writing a recap at midnight 😅👊🏼 One of the benefits of Sunday baseball starting ridiculously early! Today was a good one overall, friends: our VIP Parlay cashed for a nice +442, Player Props swept hitting 3/3, and picks cashed 1/4 (meh…).

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If you tailed the entire slate, you made a decent profit today 😌 For those curious, here’s what we had:

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Player Props (3/3) 🧹

-PHI Phillies v DET Tigers: Zack Wheeler 8+ Strikeouts (+105) ✅

-BOS Red Sox v NY Mets: Payton Tolle 6+ Strikeouts (+105) ✅

-TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres: Kevin Gausman 6+ Strikeouts (-110)  ✅

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Parlay (+442) 🎉

-BOS Red Sox v NY Mets Under 8.0 (-110) ✅

-PHI Phillies +1.5 (-205) ✅

-HOU Astros v TEX Rangers Over 9.0 (-110) ✅

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Parlay (+433) ❌

-SD Padres Team Total Over 3.5 (-135)

-MIA Marlins ML (-115)

-COL Rockies +1.5 (-165)

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Picks (1/4)

-TOR Blue Jays v SD Padres Over 8.5 (-120) ✅

-COL Rockies v SF Giants Over 8.5 (-120) ❌

-COL Rockies ML (+120) ❌

-SEA Mariners Team Total Under 3.5 (-115) ❌

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Just a reminder friends, the MLB All-Star Break starts tomorrow! That said, I’ll be dropping a few WNBA picks and some fun All-Star props until our regularly scheduled programming returns 😉

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The Podcast will be back this week, some fun Tier bundles will drop… Lots of fun things coming down the pipes 👏🏽

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Alright everyone, that’s all for now! Enjoy the rest of your evening.

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X

Belle

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💰 Get your $100 Deposit Match from Belle & Sleeper: https://sleeper.com/promo/BELLESPICKS

🔥 Want all of my picks, props & parlays?
👉 Upgrade your tier anytime under ‘My Account’

‍🎓 Ready to level up your game?
📚 Check out Belle’s Online Betting Course

💬 Enjoying Belle’s Picks?
☕ Buy Belle a Coffee

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