Today's Picks

-LA Dodgers v STL Cardinals Over 9.0 (-115) | 1 Unit

-ARI Diamondbacks v CIN Reds Over 9.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks ML (-115) | 0.25 Units

-LA Angels -0.5 First 5 Innings (+135) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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LA Dodgers v STL Cardinals: This game should see plenty of scoring, friends. Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw (5.17 ERA) hasn’t pitched more than 5 innings in any of his outings so far this season, which means the LA bullpen will likely make an early entrance. On the other side, St. Louis will start rookie Michael McGreevy – while his season debut was a good one, the Dodgers offense is bound to give him a run for his money in an effort not to get swept (for what would be just the second time this season). Despite the Under cashing for the first two games in this series, I’m on a high-scoring affair this afternoon.

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ARI Diamondbacks v CIN Reds: Zac Gallen is a little sharper on the road than his overall ERA would lead you to believe, but his last 2 outings saw final totals of 11. E.g. Gallen’s last outing saw the Atlanta Braves get a mere 1 run past him, but the final score still ended up in the double digits. On the other side, starter Brady Singer has allowed 17 earned runs over his last 5 games. I think the Over will cash here friends, and as long as the Arizona bullpen doesn't completely melt, the Diamondbacks should be able to avoid getting swept.

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SEA Mariners v LA Angels: I know the Mariners will be trying like hell to avoid the sweep, so they might make some wild moves once the LA bullpen comes in. But with George Kirby (8.56 ERA) on the mound, I have to wager that the Angels will run up a decent total in the first 5 innings. I say they hold the lead by at least 1 run for the first half of the game.

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Player Props

TOR Blue Jays v MIN Twins: Joe Ryan Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+120) | 0.15 Units

LA Dodgers v STL Cardinals: Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases (-130) | 0.20 Units

IND Pacers v OKC Thunder: Tyrese Haliburton Over 16.5 Points (-120) | 0.20 Units

IND Pacers v OKC Thunder: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 47.5 Points, Assists & Rebounds (-110) | 0.20 Units

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Parlays

Parlay (+439) | 0.20 Units

LA Angels Team Total Over 3.5 (-145)

TOR Blue Jays v MIN Twins Over 8.5 (-120) 

LA Dodgers ML (-135)

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-LA Dodgers v STL Cardinals Over 9.0 (-115) | 1 Unit

-ARI Diamondbacks v CIN Reds Over 9.5 (-110) | 0.25 Units

-ARI Diamondbacks ML (-115) | 0.25 Units

-LA Angels -0.5 First 5 Innings (+135) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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LA Dodgers v STL Cardinals: This game should see plenty of scoring, friends. Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw (5.17 ERA) hasn’t pitched more than 5 innings in any of his outings so far this season, which means the LA bullpen will likely make an early entrance. On the other side, St. Louis will start rookie Michael McGreevy – while his season debut was a good one, the Dodgers offense is bound to give him a run for his money in an effort not to get swept (for what would be just the second time this season). Despite the Under cashing for the first two games in this series, I’m on a high-scoring affair this afternoon.

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ARI Diamondbacks v CIN Reds: Zac Gallen is a little sharper on the road than his overall ERA would lead you to believe, but his last 2 outings saw final totals of 11. E.g. Gallen’s last outing saw the Atlanta Braves get a mere 1 run past him, but the final score still ended up in the double digits. On the other side, starter Brady Singer has allowed 17 earned runs over his last 5 games. I think the Over will cash here friends, and as long as the Arizona bullpen doesn't completely melt, the Diamondbacks should be able to avoid getting swept.

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SEA Mariners v LA Angels: I know the Mariners will be trying like hell to avoid the sweep, so they might make some wild moves once the LA bullpen comes in. But with George Kirby (8.56 ERA) on the mound, I have to wager that the Angels will run up a decent total in the first 5 innings. I say they hold the lead by at least 1 run for the first half of the game.

-LA Dodgers v STL Cardinals Over 9.0 (-115) | 1 Unit

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Why This Pick?

This game should see plenty of scoring, friends. Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw (5.17 ERA) hasn’t pitched more than 5 innings in any of his outings so far this season, which means the LA bullpen will likely make an early entrance. On the other side, St. Louis will start rookie Michael McGreevy – while his season debut was a good one, the Dodgers offense is bound to give him a run for his money in an effort not to get swept (for what would be just the second time this season). Despite the Under cashing for the first two games in this series, I’m on a high-scoring affair this afternoon.

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It's that time again, friends! Here comes the daily recap 📝 I must say, I really writing these – over the last year and a half, I think the post-game recap (and the nightcap...) has become a really nice ritual. Anywho, enough of my chit chat – picks went 3/5 today, and player props went 2/4! Certainly not a bad day, but not an amazing one either. In short: we live to fight another day 😌👊🏼

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For those curious, here's what we had:

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Picks (3/5)

-MIL Brewers ML (-115) ✅

-SD Padres v MIL Brewers Under 8.5 (-115) ✅

-HOU Astros ML (-115) ✅

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (+110) ❌

-HOU Astros v CLE Guardians Under 7.0 (+100) ❌

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Player Props (2/4)

-LA Dodgers v STL Cardinals: Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-115) ✅

-BOS Red Sox v NY Yankees: Garrett Crochet Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-140) ✅

-PHI Phillies v PIT Pirates: Nick Castellanos Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) ❌

-PHI Phillies v PIT Pirates: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) ❌

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Philadelphia, you cut me deep today. I think that encounter with the Pirates gave me a touch of baseball PTSD (the "P" stands for Phillies now...) Am I being dramatic? Maybe. But let me have this, okay? 😂

On another note, I was really hoping the Astros would end their game 4-3, but alas, they overachieved and finished 5-3. But hey, we'll take the win.

Lastly, today's parlay was a miss unfortunately – but fear not, I have a feeling we'll cash a few of them this week!

Alright friends, that's all for tonight! As always, tomorrow, we go again ;) I'll see you all bright and early to take on the books.

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X

Belle

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Today's Picks

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-PHI Phillies -1.5 (+110) | 0.5 Units

-HOU Astros ML (-115) | 0.25 Units

-HOU Astros v CLE Guardians Under 7.0 (+100) | 0.25 Units

-MIL Brewers ML (-115) | 0.25 Units

-SD Padres v MIL Brewers Under 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

PHI Phillies v PIT Pirates: The Phillies have had a rough couple of weeks friends, but that changes today. Starter Ranger Suarez (2.72 ERA) is a cool 4-0, and each one of his logged wins has seen the Phillies claim victory by at least 2 runs. Suarez has only allowed 4 runs across his last 5 outings; I think he’ll do more than enough to keep Pittsburgh in check here. On the other side, Pirates starter Andrew Heaney (3.39 ERA) has allowed 7 runs in his last two outings, and 4 of his last 5 outings have seen Pittsburgh take an L. Even with Bryce Harper out of the lineup today, I still think Philadelphia turns up and covers the RL here. 

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SD Padres v MIL Brewers: Both Kolek & Quintana have pitched some great games – and both have had a “meltdown game” in their last 3 outings. So long as they both don’t decide to pull a meltdown today, the Under should cash. Quintana has only allowed 1-2 runs in 4 of his last 5 starts, and while Kolek had a solid outing against San Francisco last week, he’s allowed 14 runs over his last 4 starts. I’m on the Under to cash and on Milwaukee to bag a win. 

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HOU Astros v CLE Guardians: It feels like just yesterday that I was roasting Hunter Brown (1.83 ERA) for allowing the Kansas City Royals to get 9 runs past him in the 1st inning – ahh, memories! Two years later, Brown has become a reliable starter. I feel like a proud baseball parent! Having allowed just 7 runs over his last 5 games, I think Brown will keep the Guardians in check here. That said, I expect a low-scoring affair, as Cleveland’s Gavin Williams (3.79 ERA) is pretty capable himself these days. I’m on the Astros to lock down a win on the road and on the Under to hit. 

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Player Props

-LA Dodgers v STL Cardinals: Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-115) | 0.15 Units

-PHI Phillies v PIT Pirates: Nick Castellanos Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.15 Units

-PHI Phillies v PIT Pirates: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.15 Units

-BOS Red Sox v NY Yankees: Garrett Crochet Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-140) | 0.20 Units (Not a huge fan of the return on this, but Crochet has been fire...)

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Parlays

Parlay (+423) | 0.20 Units

-MIN Twins ML (-110)

-TOR Blue Jays v MIN Twins Over 8.0 (-115)

-NY Mets -1.5 (-185)

Today's Picks

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-PHI Phillies -1.5 (+110) | 0.5 Units

-HOU Astros ML (-115) | 0.25 Units

-HOU Astros v CLE Guardians Under 7.0 (+100) | 0.25 Units

-MIL Brewers ML (-115) | 0.25 Units

-SD Padres v MIL Brewers Under 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

PHI Phillies v PIT Pirates: The Phillies have had a rough couple of weeks friends, but that changes today. Starter Ranger Suarez (2.72 ERA) is a cool 4-0, and each one of his logged wins has seen the Phillies claim victory by at least 2 runs. Suarez has only allowed 4 runs across his last 5 outings; I think he’ll do more than enough to keep Pittsburgh in check here. On the other side, Pirates starter Andrew Heaney (3.39 ERA) has allowed 7 runs in his last two outings, and 4 of his last 5 outings have seen Pittsburgh take an L. Even with Bryce Harper out of the lineup today, I still think Philadelphia turns up and covers the RL here. 

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SD Padres v MIL Brewers: Both Kolek & Quintana have pitched some great games – and both have had a “meltdown game” in their last 3 outings. So long as they both don’t decide to pull a meltdown today, the Under should cash. Quintana has only allowed 1-2 runs in 4 of his last 5 starts, and while Kolek had a solid outing against San Francisco last week, he’s allowed 14 runs over his last 4 starts. I’m on the Under to cash and on Milwaukee to bag a win. 

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HOU Astros v CLE Guardians: It feels like just yesterday that I was roasting Hunter Brown (1.83 ERA) for allowing the Kansas City Royals to get 9 runs past him in the 1st inning – ahh, memories! Two years later, Brown has become a reliable starter. I feel like a proud baseball parent! Having allowed just 7 runs over his last 5 games, I think Brown will keep the Guardians in check here. That said, I expect a low-scoring affair, as Cleveland’s Gavin Williams (3.79 ERA) is pretty capable himself these days. I’m on the Astros to lock down a win on the road and on the Under to hit. 

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Player Props

-LA Dodgers v STL Cardinals: Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-115) | 0.15 Units

-PHI Phillies v PIT Pirates: Nick Castellanos Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.15 Units

-PHI Phillies v PIT Pirates: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.15 Units

-BOS Red Sox v NY Yankees: Garrett Crochet Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-140) | 0.20 Units (Not a huge fan of the return on this, but Crochet has been fire...)

Today's Picks

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-PHI Phillies -1.5 (+110) | 0.5 Units

-HOU Astros ML (-115) | 0.25 Units

-HOU Astros v CLE Guardians Under 7.0 (+100) | 0.25 Units

-MIL Brewers ML (-115) | 0.25 Units

-SD Padres v MIL Brewers Under 8.5 (-115) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

PHI Phillies v PIT Pirates: The Phillies have had a rough couple of weeks friends, but that changes today. Starter Ranger Suarez (2.72 ERA) is a cool 4-0, and each one of his logged wins has seen the Phillies claim victory by at least 2 runs. Suarez has only allowed 4 runs across his last 5 outings; I think he’ll do more than enough to keep Pittsburgh in check here. On the other side, Pirates starter Andrew Heaney (3.39 ERA) has allowed 7 runs in his last two outings, and 4 of his last 5 outings have seen Pittsburgh take an L. Even with Bryce Harper out of the lineup today, I still think Philadelphia turns up and covers the RL here. 

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SD Padres v MIL Brewers: Both Kolek & Quintana have pitched some great games – and both have had a “meltdown game” in their last 3 outings. So long as they both don’t decide to pull a meltdown today, the Under should cash. Quintana has only allowed 1-2 runs in 4 of his last 5 starts, and while Kolek had a solid outing against San Francisco last week, he’s allowed 14 runs over his last 4 starts. I’m on the Under to cash and on Milwaukee to bag a win. 

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HOU Astros v CLE Guardians: It feels like just yesterday that I was roasting Hunter Brown (1.83 ERA) for allowing the Kansas City Royals to get 9 runs past him in the 1st inning – ahh, memories! Two years later, Brown has become a reliable starter. I feel like a proud baseball parent! Having allowed just 7 runs over his last 5 games, I think Brown will keep the Guardians in check here. That said, I expect a low-scoring affair, as Cleveland’s Gavin Williams (3.79 ERA) is pretty capable himself these days. I’m on the Astros to lock down a win on the road and on the Under to hit. 

-PHI Phillies -1.5 (+110) | 0.5 Units

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Why This Pick?

The Phillies have had a rough couple of weeks friends, but that changes today. Starter Ranger Suarez (2.72 ERA) is a cool 4-0, and each one of his logged wins has seen the Phillies claim victory by at least 2 runs. Suarez has only allowed 4 runs across his last 5 outings; I think he’ll do more than enough to keep Pittsburgh in check here. On the other side, Pirates starter Andrew Heaney (3.39 ERA) has allowed 7 runs in his last two outings, and 4 of his last 5 outings have seen Pittsburgh take an L. Even with Bryce Harper out of the lineup today, I still think Philadelphia turns up and covers the RL here.

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I almost didn't write a recap tonight, friends – but it felt wrong not to celebrate a solid showing on the props front. 3/4 Props hit, and we were dangerously close to getting the sweep (yet again!) On the picks front, things were fairly uneventful thanks to the rain – we had 1 win, 1 push on our Pick of the Day and 2 losses on the smaller plays. For those curious, here's what we had:

Player Props (3/4)

 - NY Mets v COL Rockies: Juan Soto Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) ✅

- FLA Panthers v EDM Oilers: Leon Draisaitl Anytime Goal Scorer (+105) ✅

- FLA Panthers v EDM Oilers: Brad Marchand Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-135) ✅

- NY Mets v COL Rockies: Kodai Senga Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+115) ❌

Picks (1-1-2)

-STL Cardinals ML (-125) ✅

-ARI Diamondbacks v CIN Reds Over 9.5 (-110) 🟨 (VOID)

-TB Rays -1.5 (+140) ❌

-NY Mets Team Total Over 6.5 (-115) ❌

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Kodai Senga landed at 6 strikeouts – he had so many opportunities in his last inning to snag a 7th, but alas, no dice. To be honest, the Mets played an incredibly mediocre game against the "worst team in baseball". I'm stunned they didn't clear their team total in spades. 

As for the Rays, that was another close call. Tampa had a comfy 4-1 lead until the bullpen did what bullpens do... and boom — Miami homers. Have I told you all I can't stand relief pitchers? 🙃 😭

That’s it from me tonight, betting fam. A big congrats to the prop crew — overall, we came out alright. 👊🏽

Tomorrow's a new day – let's aim for another sweep, shall we? ;)

X

Belle

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Well, friends – today's 'Pick of the Day' got rained out at 3-3 in the 6th inning! I suppose the good news is we didn't lose any money :)

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-ARI Diamondbacks v CIN Reds Over 9.5 (-110) (VOID)

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Anticlimactic, I know – but as always, we go again tomorrow!

X

Belle

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