Today's Picks

-DET Tigers -1.5 (+140) | 0.5 Units

-PHI Phillies v MIA Marlins Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-MIA Marlins ML (-115) | 0.25 Units

-LA Dodgers Team Total Over 5.5 (+110) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

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BAL Orioles v DET Tigers: A bold play, no doubt – but I just can’t see the Orioles offense taking down Troy Melton (1.95 ERA). In addition, Baltimore will start Dean Kremer (5.06 ERA) who is worse on the road than he is at home. A quick comparison to give everyone some perspective:  Melton has allowed a mere 3 runs over his last 5 starts, Kremer has allowed 12 over his last 3. It’s another big plus money pick, but I like it. I’m on the Tigers to bounce back and win this one by at least two runs, friends.

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PHI Phillies v MIA Marlins: The reality here is that both starters have the (likely) potential to melt early. Betting on a high-scoring affair with Aaron Nola (5.82 ERA) on the mound has seldomly been a bad wager; all 5 of his last outings have resulted in a loss for Philly. In addition, the Marlins offense had no issue with Zack Wheeler yesterday, I have to imagine Nola won’t fare much better. In addition, Sandy Alcantara has been ‘hittable’ for the majority of this season; Philly should get enough on the board to push this total to 9. I’m on the Over to hit, and since Alcantara is a bit better at home than he is overall, I’ll bet on the Marlins to bag another win.

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SEA Mariners v LA Dodgers: This game is the sole reason picks are coming at you so late in the day, friends. And, believe it or not, the Dodgers still haven’t selected a starting pitcher. That said, I’m no fan of Luis Castillo (4.85 ERA) on the mound these days; LA’s batting lineup is more than capable of getting 6 runs past him and the Seattle bullpen. I’m tossing a sprinkle on the Dodgers to put at least 6 on the board here.

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Today's Player Props

-PHI Phillies v MIA Marlins: Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110) | 0.20 Units

-BAL Orioles v DET Tigers: Troy Melton 6+ Strikeouts (-130) | 0.25 Units

-COL Rockies v SD Padres: Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) | 0.20 Units

-SEA Mariners v LA Dodgers: Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+518) | 0.20 Units

-COL Rockies v SD Padres Over 8.0 (-120)

-MIL Brewers ML (-155)

-LA Dodgers -1.5 (+105)

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Today's Picks

-DET Tigers -1.5 (+140) | 0.5 Units

-PHI Phillies v MIA Marlins Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-MIA Marlins ML (-115) | 0.25 Units

-LA Dodgers Team Total Over 5.5 (+110) | 0.25 Units

‍

Why These Picks?

‍

BAL Orioles v DET Tigers: A bold play, no doubt – but I just can’t see the Orioles offense taking down Troy Melton (1.95 ERA). In addition, Baltimore will start Dean Kremer (5.06 ERA) who is worse on the road than he is at home. A quick comparison to give everyone some perspective:  Melton has allowed a mere 3 runs over his last 5 starts, Kremer has allowed 12 over his last 3. It’s another big plus money pick, but I like it. I’m on the Tigers to bounce back and win this one by at least two runs, friends.

‍

PHI Phillies v MIA Marlins: The reality here is that both starters have the (likely) potential to melt early. Betting on a high-scoring affair with Aaron Nola (5.82 ERA) on the mound has seldomly been a bad wager; all 5 of his last outings have resulted in a loss for Philly. In addition, the Marlins offense had no issue with Zack Wheeler yesterday, I have to imagine Nola won’t fare much better. In addition, Sandy Alcantara has been ‘hittable’ for the majority of this season; Philly should get enough on the board to push this total to 9. I’m on the Over to hit, and since Alcantara is a bit better at home than he is overall, I’ll bet on the Marlins to bag another win.

‍

SEA Mariners v LA Dodgers: This game is the sole reason picks are coming at you so late in the day, friends. And, believe it or not, the Dodgers still haven’t selected a starting pitcher. That said, I’m no fan of Luis Castillo (4.85 ERA) on the mound these days; LA’s batting lineup is more than capable of getting 6 runs past him and the Seattle bullpen. I’m tossing a sprinkle on the Dodgers to put at least 6 on the board here.

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Today's Player Props

-PHI Phillies v MIA Marlins: Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110) | 0.20 Units

-BAL Orioles v DET Tigers: Troy Melton 6+ Strikeouts (-130) | 0.25 Units

-COL Rockies v SD Padres: Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) | 0.20 Units

-SEA Mariners v LA Dodgers: Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Picks

-DET Tigers -1.5 (+140) | 0.5 Units

-PHI Phillies v MIA Marlins Over 8.0 (-115) | 0.25 Units

-MIA Marlins ML (-115) | 0.25 Units

-LA Dodgers Team Total Over 5.5 (+110) | 0.25 Units

‍

Why These Picks?

‍

BAL Orioles v DET Tigers: A bold play, no doubt – but I just can’t see the Orioles offense taking down Troy Melton (1.95 ERA). In addition, Baltimore will start Dean Kremer (5.06 ERA) who is worse on the road than he is at home. A quick comparison to give everyone some perspective:  Melton has allowed a mere 3 runs over his last 5 starts, Kremer has allowed 12 over his last 3. It’s another big plus money pick, but I like it. I’m on the Tigers to bounce back and win this one by at least two runs, friends.

‍

PHI Phillies v MIA Marlins: The reality here is that both starters have the (likely) potential to melt early. Betting on a high-scoring affair with Aaron Nola (5.82 ERA) on the mound has seldomly been a bad wager; all 5 of his last outings have resulted in a loss for Philly. In addition, the Marlins offense had no issue with Zack Wheeler yesterday, I have to imagine Nola won’t fare much better. In addition, Sandy Alcantara has been ‘hittable’ for the majority of this season; Philly should get enough on the board to push this total to 9. I’m on the Over to hit, and since Alcantara is a bit better at home than he is overall, I’ll bet on the Marlins to bag another win.

‍

SEA Mariners v LA Dodgers: This game is the sole reason picks are coming at you so late in the day, friends. And, believe it or not, the Dodgers still haven’t selected a starting pitcher. That said, I’m no fan of Luis Castillo (4.85 ERA) on the mound these days; LA’s batting lineup is more than capable of getting 6 runs past him and the Seattle bullpen. I’m tossing a sprinkle on the Dodgers to put at least 6 on the board here.

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Coffee, conversation & today’s best bet.

First Sips

Good morning/afternoon, friends! Holy, this past few days of baseball has felt like whiplash – some amazing highs and some weird lows. That said, and this may make me psychotic to some degree... sometimes I enjoy the crazy. Mainly because it's a solid reminder as to why unit management exists. I hate to say it, but the real secret to being a "successful" sports bettor is to stick to your unit sizes – getting picks and placing the wagers is the easy part! Bankroll management will make or break you, and when you do this for a living...trust me, said management is extra important 😅👊🏽 If you're ever having a tough time sorting out your bankroll or need some tips re: "staying in the game", hit me up (it's my favourite thing to talk about...) or check out my course! Alright, enough from me and my soapbox – on to today's play.

Pick of the Day

-DET Tigers -1.5 (+140) | 0.5 Units

A bold play, no doubt – but I just can’t see the Orioles offense taking down Troy Melton (1.95 ERA). In addition, Baltimore will start Dean Kremer (5.06 ERA) who is worse on the road than he is at home. A quick comparison to give everyone some perspective: Melton has allowed a mere 3 runs over his last 5 starts, Kremer has allowed 12 over his last 3. It’s another big plus-money pick, but I like it. I’m on the Tigers to bounce back and win this one by at least two runs, friends. 

What’s Brewing?

🛒 Belle's Last Sale of 2026

That's right – this is the LAST sale I'll be running all year. Get 40% off your first month, any annual purchase, or A Lifetime of Belle until July 30 with code: LASTOF2026

🏈 Join our NFL Fantasy League, "Belles of the Ball"!

There are just a couple of spots left, friends. Full disclosure, it's a blast every year, and the cash prize is sizeable. Take a peek. 

— • —

That's all I've got for today's First Cup, friends! 

Best of luck with Pick of the Day – enjoy your coffee. 

X

Belle

‍

Today's Picks

-TOR Blue Jays v WAS nationals Over 10.0 (+100) | 0.5 Units

-HOU Astros v LA Angels First 5 Innings Under 4.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

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Why These Picks?

‍

TOR Blue Jays v WAS Nationals: This total is set where it is for a reason, friends – and I love that it’s currently sitting at even money. The Blue Jays haven’t won any of Max Scherzer’s last 5 starts, and the man has allowed a whopping 12 runs over just his last two outings.  Meanwhile, Washington pitcher Andrew Alvarez (4.22 ERA) has allowed a healthy number of runs at home. With Toronto seemingly starting to find their offense again against the Boston Red Sox, I think this game will find itself at 11 runs pretty quick. Take the Over to cash.

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HOU Astros v LA Angels: Once the starters come out, I think this game could go to the moon simply because of how unreliable the Angels bullpen notoriously is. That said, Astros pitcher Tatsuya Imai has had a great last couple of games, and LA’s Walbert Urena hasn’t allowed more than a single run in any of his last 3 starts. I’ll take the first 5 innings to stay under 4.5.

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Today's Player Props

-PHI Phillies v MIA Marlins: Zack Wheeler 8+ Strikeouts (+105) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v WAS Nationals: Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v WAS Nationals: CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+466) | 0.20 Units

-PHI Phillies ML (-180)

-MIL Brewers Team Total Over 4.5 (-110)

-HOU Astros ML (-110)

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Today's Picks

-TOR Blue Jays v WAS nationals Over 10.0 (+100) | 0.5 Units

-HOU Astros v LA Angels First 5 Innings Under 4.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

‍

Why These Picks?

‍

TOR Blue Jays v WAS Nationals: This total is set where it is for a reason, friends – and I love that it’s currently sitting at even money. The Blue Jays haven’t won any of Max Scherzer’s last 5 starts, and the man has allowed a whopping 12 runs over just his last two outings.  Meanwhile, Washington pitcher Andrew Alvarez (4.22 ERA) has allowed a healthy number of runs at home. With Toronto seemingly starting to find their offense again against the Boston Red Sox, I think this game will find itself at 11 runs pretty quick. Take the Over to cash.

‍

HOU Astros v LA Angels: Once the starters come out, I think this game could go to the moon simply because of how unreliable the Angels bullpen notoriously is. That said, Astros pitcher Tatsuya Imai has had a great last couple of games, and LA’s Walbert Urena hasn’t allowed more than a single run in any of his last 3 starts. I’ll take the first 5 innings to stay under 4.5.

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Today's Player Props

-PHI Phillies v MIA Marlins: Zack Wheeler 8+ Strikeouts (+105) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v WAS Nationals: Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v WAS Nationals: CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Parlay(s):

Parlay (+466) | 0.20 Units

-PHI Phillies ML (-180)

-MIL Brewers Team Total Over 4.5 (-110)

-HOU Astros ML (-110)

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Today's Picks

-TOR Blue Jays v WAS nationals Over 10.0 (+100) | 0.5 Units

-HOU Astros v LA Angels First 5 Innings Under 4.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

‍

Why These Picks?

‍

TOR Blue Jays v WAS Nationals: This total is set where it is for a reason, friends – and I love that it’s currently sitting at even money. The Blue Jays haven’t won any of Max Scherzer’s last 5 starts, and the man has allowed a whopping 12 runs over just his last two outings.  Meanwhile, Washington pitcher Andrew Alvarez (4.22 ERA) has allowed a healthy number of runs at home. With Toronto seemingly starting to find their offense again against the Boston Red Sox, I think this game will find itself at 11 runs pretty quick. Take the Over to cash.

‍

HOU Astros v LA Angels: Once the starters come out, I think this game could go to the moon simply because of how unreliable the Angels bullpen notoriously is. That said, Astros pitcher Tatsuya Imai has had a great last couple of games, and LA’s Walbert Urena hasn’t allowed more than a single run in any of his last 3 starts. I’ll take the first 5 innings to stay under 4.5.

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Today's Player Props

-PHI Phillies v MIA Marlins: Zack Wheeler 8+ Strikeouts (+105) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v WAS Nationals: CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Picks

-TOR Blue Jays v WAS nationals Over 10.0 (+100) | 0.5 Units

-HOU Astros v LA Angels First 5 Innings Under 4.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

‍

Why These Picks?

‍

TOR Blue Jays v WAS Nationals: This total is set where it is for a reason, friends – and I love that it’s currently sitting at even money. The Blue Jays haven’t won any of Max Scherzer’s last 5 starts, and the man has allowed a whopping 12 runs over just his last two outings.  Meanwhile, Washington pitcher Andrew Alvarez (4.22 ERA) has allowed a healthy number of runs at home. With Toronto seemingly starting to find their offense again against the Boston Red Sox, I think this game will find itself at 11 runs pretty quick. Take the Over to cash.

‍

HOU Astros v LA Angels: Once the starters come out, I think this game could go to the moon simply because of how unreliable the Angels bullpen notoriously is. That said, Astros pitcher Tatsuya Imai has had a great last couple of games, and LA’s Walbert Urena hasn’t allowed more than a single run in any of his last 3 starts. I’ll take the first 5 innings to stay under 4.5.

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Today's Player Props

-PHI Phillies v MIA Marlins: Zack Wheeler 8+ Strikeouts (+105) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v WAS Nationals: Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110) | 0.20 Units

-TOR Blue Jays v WAS Nationals: CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) | 0.20 Units

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Today's Picks

-TOR Blue Jays v WAS nationals Over 10.0 (+100) | 0.5 Units

-HOU Astros v LA Angels First 5 Innings Under 4.5 (-120) | 0.25 Units

‍

Why These Picks?

‍

TOR Blue Jays v WAS Nationals: This total is set where it is for a reason, friends – and I love that it’s currently sitting at even money. The Blue Jays haven’t won any of Max Scherzer’s last 5 starts, and the man has allowed a whopping 12 runs over just his last two outings.  Meanwhile, Washington pitcher Andrew Alvarez (4.22 ERA) has allowed a healthy number of runs at home. With Toronto seemingly starting to find their offense again against the Boston Red Sox, I think this game will find itself at 11 runs pretty quick. Take the Over to cash.

‍

HOU Astros v LA Angels: Once the starters come out, I think this game could go to the moon simply because of how unreliable the Angels bullpen notoriously is. That said, Astros pitcher Tatsuya Imai has had a great last couple of games, and LA’s Walbert Urena hasn’t allowed more than a single run in any of his last 3 starts. I’ll take the first 5 innings to stay under 4.5.

‍

‍Coffee, conversation & today’s best bet.

First Sips

I admit, my First Cup of coffee is coming at everyone a bit late today – but this first cup is a good one, as we locked down a picks sweep last night (4/4!)! My god, was that ever a nice way to finish the weekend. So far, we're on our way to finishing July in the green 💚 I'll have the spreadsheet up and out over the next day or two so you can all see where we're at as we approach the finish line. Since yesterday's games finished so early, I ended up starting the new season of Quarterback on Netflix 😅! If you haven't started that series...I highly recommend it. No, Netflix is not paying me to say this, but it's incredibly cool to see how all the different QBs are living their lives, going through their processes...etc. A warning: it will make you miss football season LIKE CRAZY! I'm so ready to get back to my Sunday Caesars (or rather, Bloody Marys...) and "7 hours of commercial-free" degenerate-ness. Anywho, on to today's play...

Pick of the Day

-TOR Blue Jays v WAS nationals Over 10.0 (+100) | 0.5 Units

This total is set where it is for a reason, friends – and I love that it’s currently sitting at even money. The Blue Jays haven’t won any of Max Scherzer’s (10.23 ERA) last 5 starts, and the man has allowed a whopping 12 runs over just his last two outings.  Meanwhile, Washington pitcher Andrew Alvarez (4.22 ERA) has allowed a healthy number of runs at home. With Toronto seemingly starting to find their offense again against the Boston Red Sox, I think this game will find itself at 11 runs pretty quick. Take the Over to cash. 

What’s Brewing?

🛒 Belle's Last Sale of 2026

That's right – this is the LAST sale I'll be running all year. Get 40% off your first month, any annual purchase, or A Lifetime of Belle until July 30 with code: LASTOF2026

🏈 Join our NFL Fantasy League, "Belles of the Ball"!

There are just a couple of spots left, friends. Full disclosure, it's a blast every year, and the cash prize is sizeable. Take a peek. 

— • —

That's all I've got for today's First Cup, friends! 

Best of luck with Pick of the Day – enjoy your coffee. 

X

Belle

‍

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